L’École des cotes

Rennes v Toulouse

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rennes (Local)

Prévision 47.41%2.11cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.667%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.33%47.42%47.35%49.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.992.002.0854.64%50.21%50.00%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Toulouse (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.51%3.92cote équitable
EV +0.746%
Avantage +0.189%
Kelly +0.253%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.46%25.54%25.54%27.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.683.703.9529.41%27.17%27.03%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.08%3.69cote équitable
EV -1.14%
Avantage -0.312%
Kelly -0.430%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.03%27.05%27.11%28.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.473.503.6533.33%28.80%28.57%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV +0.746%E +0.189%K +0.253%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 15:55
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV +0.746%E +0.189%K +0.253%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 15:55
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.70%EV -3.76%E -1.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.64%EV +0.236%E +0.060%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 15:55
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.41%EV -2.81%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.44%EV -2.57%E -0.673%K -0.911%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.15%EV -3.04%E -0.848%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-28 15:55
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -3.08%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 14:05
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.08%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 15:55
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.08%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 15:55
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.08%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 15:22
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -9.92%E -5.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.08%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.49%E -0.693%K -0.959%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 15:55
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.08%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 15:55
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.28%EV -2.81%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -3.59%E -0.950%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.08%EV -3.04%E -0.848%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 15:55
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -1.14%E -0.312%K -0.430%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 15:55
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.42%EV -6.60%E -3.35%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14%EV -1.14%E -0.312%K -0.430%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 15:55
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 15:55
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 15:55
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -2.49%E -0.693%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 14:05
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -2.49%E -0.693%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 14:05
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 15:56
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 15:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 15:55
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.57%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -4.12%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 15:55
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.34%E -1.13%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.12%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.84%EV -2.22%E -0.616%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.79%EV -2.34%E -1.13%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 15:55
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.79%EV -2.34%E -1.13%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 15:56
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.79%EV -2.34%E -1.13%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 15:55
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 47.41%EV -4.71%E -2.34%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 04:44
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 04:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 04:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -5.65%E -2.84%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 15:55
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -6.91%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 15:55
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.91%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:56
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.91%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:55
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.91%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:55
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -6.91%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:54
Suprabets1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.66%EV -7.42%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.31%EV -7.64%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 15:53
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.49%E -0.693%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 15:55
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -4.23%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 15:56
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:53
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 15:55
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 15:55
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 15:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:05
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.39%E -0.667%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -9.46%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 15:55
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.39%E -0.667%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -9.46%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 15:55
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.46%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:55
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -9.46%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:55
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.49%E -0.693%K -0.959%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 15:55
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 15:55
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -8.50%E -4.40%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -9.27%E -2.77%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 15:55
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 15:55
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.81%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -13.28%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -13.24%E -7.23%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -13.28%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -18.75%E -6.25%K -9.37%G +0.000%17.4%2026-02-28 15:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-02-28 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-02-28 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-02-28 15:55
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-02-28 15:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-02-28 15:55