A Escola das Odds

RC Lens v Paris Saint Germain

Início: 2026-04-11 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

RC Lens (Local)

Previsão 28.13%3.56odd justa
EV +6.33%
Vantagem +1.67%
Kelly +2.28%
Crescimento +0.144%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.33%27.95%28.13%30.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.323.303.7833.33%30.15%30.30%26.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Paris Saint Germain (Visitante)

Previsão 47.24%2.12odd justa
EV -2.69%
Vantagem -1.30%
Kelly -2.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.14%47.29%47.30%49.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.841.982.002.0654.35%50.51%50.00%48.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.63%4.06odd justa
EV -1.47%
Vantagem -0.368%
Kelly -0.490%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.80%24.76%24.56%26.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.733.754.0030.30%26.78%26.67%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet3.78I 26.46%NM 26.02%EV +6.33%E +1.67%K +2.28%G +0.144%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%EV -3.63%E -1.78%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.75%EV -5.90%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.7%2026-03-26 10:35
Marathon Bet3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV +4.64%E +1.25%K +1.71%G +0.079%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -5.05%E -2.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.76%EV -7.38%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 10:35
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV +4.08%E +1.10%K +1.51%G +0.062%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.25%E -5.39%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-25 23:00
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV +1.26%E +0.351%K +0.486%G +0.006%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.02%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.56%EV -8.37%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 23:05
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -0.143%E -0.040%K -0.056%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.41%E -3.78%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -10.09%E -2.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-25 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:45
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:44
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:45
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:44
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:44
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -5.17%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 15:15
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.27%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -1.47%E -0.368%K -0.490%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 07:49
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 13:44
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 05:29
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 13:45
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 13:44
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 13:44
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 13:45
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 13:45
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.77%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -2.70%E -0.684%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 10:19
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.77%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -2.70%E -0.684%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 10:20
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.77%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 13:44
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.18%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 15:05
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.18%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.88%E -4.04%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-25 15:15
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.18%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.83%E -4.57%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-25 22:54
Fliff3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.18%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.77%E -5.12%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 15:04
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.17%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 13:24
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.56%EV -9.30%E -4.84%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-25 15:14
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -8.83%E -4.57%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 13:44
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -9.30%E -4.84%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -12.56%E -3.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 13:45
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -9.30%E -4.84%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -12.56%E -3.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 13:44
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.47%E -0.368%K -0.490%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 03:39
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-25 03:40
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -7.88%E -4.04%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-02 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -13.08%E -7.11%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -13.79%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-25 15:14
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -13.08%E -7.11%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -13.79%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-26 13:04
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 08:14
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -11.19%E -5.95%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-25 15:14
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.73%EV -9.77%E -5.12%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.93%EV -11.82%E -3.30%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-23 23:03
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-25 03:39
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 15:14
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 18:00
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 18:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 15:15
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 03:39
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -11.66%E -6.24%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-26 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -15.61%E -5.20%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -9.77%E -5.12%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -18.71%E -5.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-06 15:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 28.13%1.84I 54.35%NM 46.63%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%16.5%2026-03-25 15:15