مدرسة الاحتمالات

RC Lens v Paris Saint Germain

البداية: 2026-04-11 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

RC Lens (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.13%3.56السعر العادل
EV +6.33%
الأفضلية +1.67%
Kelly +2.28%
النمو +0.144%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.33%27.95%28.13%30.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.323.303.7833.33%30.15%30.30%26.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Paris Saint Germain (الضيف)

التنبؤ 47.24%2.12السعر العادل
EV -2.69%
الأفضلية -1.30%
Kelly -2.54%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.14%47.29%47.30%49.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.841.982.002.0654.35%50.51%50.00%48.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.63%4.06السعر العادل
EV -1.47%
الأفضلية -0.368%
Kelly -0.490%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.80%24.76%24.56%26.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.733.754.0030.30%26.78%26.67%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.78I 26.46%NM 26.02%EV +6.33%E +1.67%K +2.28%G +0.144%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%EV -3.63%E -1.78%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.75%EV -5.90%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.7%2026-03-26 10:35
Marathon Bet3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV +4.64%E +1.25%K +1.71%G +0.079%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -5.05%E -2.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.76%EV -7.38%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 10:35
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV +4.08%E +1.10%K +1.51%G +0.062%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.25%E -5.39%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-25 23:00
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV +1.26%E +0.351%K +0.486%G +0.006%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.02%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.56%EV -8.37%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 23:05
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -0.143%E -0.040%K -0.056%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.41%E -3.78%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -10.09%E -2.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-25 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:45
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:44
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:45
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:44
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:44
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -5.17%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 15:15
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.27%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -1.47%E -0.368%K -0.490%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 07:49
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 13:44
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 05:29
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 13:45
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 13:44
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 13:44
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 13:45
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 13:45
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.77%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -2.70%E -0.684%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 10:19
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.77%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -2.70%E -0.684%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 10:20
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.77%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 13:44
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.18%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 15:05
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.18%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.88%E -4.04%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-25 15:15
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.18%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.83%E -4.57%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-25 22:54
Fliff3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.18%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.77%E -5.12%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 15:04
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.17%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 13:24
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.56%EV -9.30%E -4.84%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-25 15:14
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -8.83%E -4.57%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 13:44
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -9.30%E -4.84%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -12.56%E -3.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 13:45
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -9.30%E -4.84%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -12.56%E -3.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 13:44
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.47%E -0.368%K -0.490%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 03:39
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-25 03:40
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -7.88%E -4.04%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-02 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -13.08%E -7.11%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -13.79%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-25 15:14
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -13.08%E -7.11%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -13.79%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-26 13:04
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 08:14
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -11.19%E -5.95%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-25 15:14
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.73%EV -9.77%E -5.12%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.93%EV -11.82%E -3.30%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-23 23:03
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-25 03:39
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 15:14
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 18:00
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 18:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 15:15
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 03:39
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -11.66%E -6.24%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-26 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -15.61%E -5.20%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -9.77%E -5.12%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -18.71%E -5.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-06 15:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (1)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 28.13%1.84I 54.35%NM 46.63%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%16.5%2026-03-25 15:15