L’École des cotes

RC Lens v Paris Saint Germain

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

RC Lens (Local)

Prévision 28.13%3.56cote équitable
EV +6.33%
Avantage +1.67%
Kelly +2.28%
Croissance +0.144%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.33%27.95%28.13%30.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.323.303.7833.33%30.15%30.30%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Paris Saint Germain (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.24%2.12cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -2.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.14%47.29%47.30%49.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.841.982.002.0654.35%50.51%50.00%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.63%4.06cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.368%
Kelly -0.490%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.80%24.76%24.56%26.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.733.754.0030.30%26.78%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.78I 26.46%NM 26.02%EV +6.33%E +1.67%K +2.28%G +0.144%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%EV -3.63%E -1.78%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.75%EV -5.90%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.7%2026-03-26 10:35
Marathon Bet3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV +4.64%E +1.25%K +1.71%G +0.079%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -5.05%E -2.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.76%EV -7.38%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 10:35
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV +4.08%E +1.10%K +1.51%G +0.062%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.25%E -5.39%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-25 23:00
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV +1.26%E +0.351%K +0.486%G +0.006%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.02%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.56%EV -8.37%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 23:05
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -0.143%E -0.040%K -0.056%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.41%E -3.78%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -10.09%E -2.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-25 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:45
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:44
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:45
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:44
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 13:44
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -5.17%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 15:15
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.27%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -1.47%E -0.368%K -0.490%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 07:49
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 13:44
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 05:29
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 13:45
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 13:44
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 13:44
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 13:45
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 13:45
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.77%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -2.70%E -0.684%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 10:19
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.77%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -2.70%E -0.684%K -0.916%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 10:20
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.77%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 13:44
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.18%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 15:05
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.18%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.88%E -4.04%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-25 15:15
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.18%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.83%E -4.57%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-25 22:54
Fliff3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.18%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.77%E -5.12%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 15:04
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.17%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 13:24
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.56%EV -9.30%E -4.84%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-25 15:14
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -8.83%E -4.57%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 13:44
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -9.30%E -4.84%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -12.56%E -3.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 13:45
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -9.30%E -4.84%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -12.56%E -3.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 13:44
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.47%E -0.368%K -0.490%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 03:39
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-25 03:40
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -7.88%E -4.04%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-02 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -13.08%E -7.11%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -13.79%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-25 15:14
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -13.08%E -7.11%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -13.79%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-26 13:04
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 08:14
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -11.19%E -5.95%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-25 15:14
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.73%EV -9.77%E -5.12%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.93%EV -11.82%E -3.30%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-23 23:03
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-25 03:39
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 15:14
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 18:00
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 18:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 15:15
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 03:39
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -11.66%E -6.24%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-26 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -15.61%E -5.20%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -9.77%E -5.12%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -18.71%E -5.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-06 15:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 28.13%1.84I 54.35%NM 46.63%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%16.5%2026-03-25 15:15