La escuela de los momiosRC Lens v Paris Saint Germain
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
RC Lens (Local)
Predicción 28.13%3.56momio equitativo
EV +6.33%
Ventaja +1.67%
Kelly +2.28%
Crecimiento +0.144%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.33%27.95%28.13%30.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.323.303.7833.33%30.15%30.30%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Paris Saint Germain (Visitante)
Predicción 47.24%2.12momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -2.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.14%47.29%47.30%49.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.841.982.002.0654.35%50.51%50.00%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.63%4.06momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.368%
Kelly -0.490%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.80%24.76%24.56%26.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.733.754.0030.30%26.78%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.78I 26.46%NM 26.02%EV +6.33%E +1.67%K +2.28%G +0.144% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%EV -3.63%E -1.78%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.75%EV -5.90%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-03-26 10:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV +4.64%E +1.25%K +1.71%G +0.079% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -5.05%E -2.51%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.76%EV -7.38%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-26 10:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV +4.08%E +1.10%K +1.51%G +0.062% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.25%E -5.39%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-25 23:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV +1.26%E +0.351%K +0.486%G +0.006% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.02%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.56%EV -8.37%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 23:05 |
| Bovada | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -0.143%E -0.040%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.41%E -3.78%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -10.09%E -2.77%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-25 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 13:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 13:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 13:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -2.96%E -0.857%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -5.17%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 15:15 |
| Coolbet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.27%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -1.47%E -0.368%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 07:49 |
| Unibet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 13:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 05:29 |
| Casumo | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 13:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 13:44 |
| TABtouch | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 13:44 |
| betPARX | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 13:45 |
| Bally Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 13:45 |
| Betsson | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.77%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -2.70%E -0.684%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 10:19 |
| NordicBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.77%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -2.70%E -0.684%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 10:20 |
| BetRivers | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.77%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 13:44 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.18%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-01 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.18%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.88%E -4.04%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 15:15 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.18%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.83%E -4.57%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-25 22:54 |
| Fliff | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.18%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.77%E -5.12%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-27 15:04 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.17%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 13:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.56%EV -9.30%E -4.84%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -7.63%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-25 15:14 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -8.83%E -4.57%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-27 13:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -9.30%E -4.84%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -12.56%E -3.54%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.58%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -9.30%E -4.84%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -12.56%E -3.54%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-27 13:44 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.47%E -0.368%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 03:39 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-25 03:40 |
| TAB | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -7.88%E -4.04%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-02 00:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -13.08%E -7.11%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -13.79%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-25 15:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -13.08%E -7.11%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -13.79%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-26 13:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 08:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -11.19%E -5.95%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -8.86%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-25 15:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -11.39%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.73%EV -9.77%E -5.12%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.93%EV -11.82%E -3.30%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-23 23:03 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-25 03:39 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-25 15:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-25 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-25 18:00 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-25 15:15 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-25 03:39 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.80%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -11.66%E -6.24%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -11.32%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-26 12:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -15.61%E -5.20%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -9.77%E -5.12%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -18.71%E -5.67%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.13% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 46.63% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24% | 16.5% | 2026-03-25 15:15 |