The School of Odds

Paris Saint Germain v Rennes

2026-08-23 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Paris Saint Germain (Local)

Prediction 67.08%1.49fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -6.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.12%67.11%67.05%69.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.321.391.401.4575.76%71.69%71.43%68.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Rennes (Visit)

Prediction 14.98%6.68fair odd
EV +8.58%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.118%

assuming max odds 7.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.12%14.83%15.08%16.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.606.346.507.2517.86%15.76%15.38%13.79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 17.94%5.57fair odd
EV +2.99%
Edge +0.520%
Kelly +0.630%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 5.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.14%18.06%17.87%20.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.404.995.005.7422.73%20.04%20.00%17.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 69.08%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.34%EV +8.58%E +1.18%K +1.37%G +0.118%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -1.32%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-07 13:00
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +4.83%E +0.690%K +0.806%G +0.039%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 12:34
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.77%EV -8.10%E -5.91%K -21.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV +4.83%E +0.690%K +0.806%G +0.039%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -4.91%E -0.926%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 12:35
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 69.56%EV -11.45%E -8.68%K -35.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV +4.83%E +0.690%K +0.806%G +0.039%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -4.91%E -0.926%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-07 12:35
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.84%EV -4.07%E -2.85%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.85%EV +3.34%E +0.483%K +0.565%G +0.019%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -11.19%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 15:24
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.84%EV -4.07%E -2.85%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.85%EV +3.34%E +0.483%K +0.565%G +0.019%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -11.19%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 03:04
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.15%EV -7.43%E -5.38%K -19.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +1.09%E +0.161%K +0.189%G +0.002%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 12:34
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 67.84%EV -2.73%E -1.88%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 15.02%EV -1.91%E -0.291%K -0.343%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 17.14%EV +2.99%E +0.520%K +0.630%G +0.019%1.7%2026-07-14 06:04
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 01:10
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.06%EV -8.10%E -5.91%K -21.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.91%E -0.926%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 12:34
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:34
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:45
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:45
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 17:00
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 17:04
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 17:04
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 17:14
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 19:59
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 22:49
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-16 12:55
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.77%E -6.45%K -24.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-07 12:34
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.78%E -8.11%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-07 12:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.78%E -8.11%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-09 08:45
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.81%EV -4.07%E -2.85%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.03%EV -3.40%E -0.528%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.16%EV +1.37%E +0.243%K +0.295%G +0.004%3.1%2026-07-14 05:59
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.35%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.94%EV -4.15%E -0.649%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.71%EV -3.11%E -0.576%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 12:59
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -4.07%E -2.85%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -6.40%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 14:40
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 67.08%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -6.40%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-14 05:56
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 66.86%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.17%EV -7.60%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 17.97%EV -6.52%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 09:17
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:40
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:39
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-14 12:59
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -7.43%E -5.38%K -19.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -17.47%E -3.80%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-14 15:24
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.05%EV -7.43%E -5.38%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -13.14%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.23%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 00:20
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.12%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -13.14%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -21.06%E -4.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-09 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.12%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -13.14%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -21.06%E -4.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-09 16:45
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.43%E -5.38%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -13.89%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-16 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.34%EV -7.43%E -5.38%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV -14.64%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -6.70%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-14 12:59
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.08%EV -8.10%E -5.91%K -21.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.17%EV -16.13%E -2.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.75%EV -8.50%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-14 12:59
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.60%EV -10.11%E -7.55%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.70%EV -16.13%E -2.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.70%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-14 12:59
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.60%EV -10.11%E -7.55%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.70%EV -16.13%E -2.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.70%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-14 12:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.83%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%6.4%2026-07-18 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.83%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%6.4%2026-07-18 09:05
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 66.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%10.6%2026-07-15 10:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 42.63%5.50I 18.18%NM 11.24%1.34I 74.63%NM 46.13%61.8%2026-07-18 09:05