L’École des cotes

Paris Saint Germain v Rennes

2026-08-23 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Paris Saint Germain (Local)

Prévision 67.08%1.49cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -1.88%
Kelly -6.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.12%67.11%67.05%69.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.391.401.4575.76%71.69%71.43%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rennes (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.98%6.68cote équitable
EV +8.58%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +1.37%
Croissance +0.118%

avec la cote maximale 7.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.12%14.83%15.08%16.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.606.346.507.2517.86%15.76%15.38%13.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.94%5.57cote équitable
EV +2.99%
Avantage +0.520%
Kelly +0.630%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 5.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.14%18.06%17.87%20.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.995.005.7422.73%20.04%20.00%17.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 69.08%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.34%EV +8.58%E +1.18%K +1.37%G +0.118%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -1.32%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-07 13:00
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +4.83%E +0.690%K +0.806%G +0.039%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 12:34
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.77%EV -8.10%E -5.91%K -21.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV +4.83%E +0.690%K +0.806%G +0.039%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -4.91%E -0.926%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 12:35
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 69.56%EV -11.45%E -8.68%K -35.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV +4.83%E +0.690%K +0.806%G +0.039%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -4.91%E -0.926%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-07 12:35
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.84%EV -4.07%E -2.85%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.85%EV +3.34%E +0.483%K +0.565%G +0.019%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -11.19%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 15:24
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.84%EV -4.07%E -2.85%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.85%EV +3.34%E +0.483%K +0.565%G +0.019%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -11.19%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 03:04
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.15%EV -7.43%E -5.38%K -19.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +1.09%E +0.161%K +0.189%G +0.002%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 12:34
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 67.84%EV -2.73%E -1.88%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 15.02%EV -1.91%E -0.291%K -0.343%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 17.14%EV +2.99%E +0.520%K +0.630%G +0.019%1.7%2026-07-14 06:04
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 01:10
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.06%EV -8.10%E -5.91%K -21.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.91%E -0.926%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 12:34
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:34
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:45
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:45
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 17:00
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 17:04
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 17:04
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 17:14
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 19:59
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 22:49
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-16 12:55
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.77%E -6.45%K -24.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-07 12:34
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.78%E -8.11%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-07 12:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.78%E -8.11%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-09 08:45
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.81%EV -4.07%E -2.85%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.03%EV -3.40%E -0.528%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.16%EV +1.37%E +0.243%K +0.295%G +0.004%3.1%2026-07-14 05:59
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.35%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.94%EV -4.15%E -0.649%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.71%EV -3.11%E -0.576%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 12:59
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -4.07%E -2.85%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -6.40%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 14:40
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 67.08%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -6.40%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-14 05:56
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 66.86%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.17%EV -7.60%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 17.97%EV -6.52%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 09:17
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:40
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:39
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-14 12:59
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -7.43%E -5.38%K -19.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -17.47%E -3.80%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-14 15:24
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.05%EV -7.43%E -5.38%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -13.14%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.23%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 00:20
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.12%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -13.14%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -21.06%E -4.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-09 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.12%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -13.14%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -21.06%E -4.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-09 16:45
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.43%E -5.38%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -13.89%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-16 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.34%EV -7.43%E -5.38%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV -14.64%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -6.70%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-14 12:59
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.08%EV -8.10%E -5.91%K -21.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.17%EV -16.13%E -2.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.75%EV -8.50%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-14 12:59
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.60%EV -10.11%E -7.55%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.70%EV -16.13%E -2.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.70%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-14 12:59
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.60%EV -10.11%E -7.55%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.70%EV -16.13%E -2.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.70%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-14 12:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.83%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%6.4%2026-07-18 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.83%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%6.4%2026-07-18 09:05
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 66.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%10.6%2026-07-15 10:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 42.63%5.50I 18.18%NM 11.24%1.34I 74.63%NM 46.13%61.8%2026-07-18 09:05