La escuela de los momios

Paris Saint Germain v Rennes

2026-08-23 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Paris Saint Germain (Local)

Predicción 67.08%1.49momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -6.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.12%67.11%67.05%69.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.391.401.4575.76%71.69%71.43%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rennes (Visitante)

Predicción 14.98%6.68momio equitativo
EV +8.58%
Ventaja +1.18%
Kelly +1.37%
Crecimiento +0.118%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.12%14.83%15.08%16.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.606.346.507.2517.86%15.76%15.38%13.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 17.94%5.57momio equitativo
EV +2.99%
Ventaja +0.520%
Kelly +0.630%
Crecimiento +0.019%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.14%18.06%17.87%20.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.995.005.7422.73%20.04%20.00%17.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 69.08%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.34%EV +8.58%E +1.18%K +1.37%G +0.118%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV -1.32%E -0.240%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-07 13:00
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +4.83%E +0.690%K +0.806%G +0.039%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 12:34
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.77%EV -8.10%E -5.91%K -21.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV +4.83%E +0.690%K +0.806%G +0.039%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -4.91%E -0.926%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 12:35
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 69.56%EV -11.45%E -8.68%K -35.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV +4.83%E +0.690%K +0.806%G +0.039%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -4.91%E -0.926%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-07 12:35
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.84%EV -4.07%E -2.85%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.85%EV +3.34%E +0.483%K +0.565%G +0.019%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -11.19%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 15:24
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.84%EV -4.07%E -2.85%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.85%EV +3.34%E +0.483%K +0.565%G +0.019%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -11.19%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 03:04
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.15%EV -7.43%E -5.38%K -19.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +1.09%E +0.161%K +0.189%G +0.002%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 12:34
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 67.84%EV -2.73%E -1.88%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 15.02%EV -1.91%E -0.291%K -0.343%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 17.14%EV +2.99%E +0.520%K +0.630%G +0.019%1.7%2026-07-14 06:04
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 01:10
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.06%EV -8.10%E -5.91%K -21.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.91%E -0.926%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 12:34
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:34
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:45
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:45
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 17:00
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 17:04
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 17:04
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 17:14
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 19:59
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 22:49
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-16 12:55
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.77%E -6.45%K -24.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-07 12:34
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.78%E -8.11%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-07 12:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.78%E -8.11%K -32.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -2.65%E -0.408%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-09 08:45
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.81%EV -4.07%E -2.85%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.03%EV -3.40%E -0.528%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.16%EV +1.37%E +0.243%K +0.295%G +0.004%3.1%2026-07-14 05:59
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.35%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.94%EV -4.15%E -0.649%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.71%EV -3.11%E -0.576%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 12:59
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -4.07%E -2.85%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -6.40%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 14:40
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 67.08%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -6.40%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-14 05:56
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 66.86%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.17%EV -7.60%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 17.97%EV -6.52%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 09:17
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:40
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:39
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-14 12:59
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -7.43%E -5.38%K -19.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -10.14%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -17.47%E -3.80%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-14 15:24
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.05%EV -7.43%E -5.38%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -13.14%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.23%EV -10.29%E -2.06%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 00:20
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.12%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -13.14%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -21.06%E -4.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-09 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.12%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -13.14%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -21.06%E -4.79%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-09 16:45
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.43%E -5.38%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -13.89%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -5.80%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-16 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.34%EV -7.43%E -5.38%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV -14.64%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -6.70%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-14 12:59
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.08%EV -8.10%E -5.91%K -21.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.17%EV -16.13%E -2.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.75%EV -8.50%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-14 12:59
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.60%EV -10.11%E -7.55%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.70%EV -16.13%E -2.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.70%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-14 12:59
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.60%EV -10.11%E -7.55%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.70%EV -16.13%E -2.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.70%EV -15.67%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-14 12:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.83%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%6.4%2026-07-18 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.83%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%6.4%2026-07-18 09:05
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 66.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%10.6%2026-07-15 10:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 42.63%5.50I 18.18%NM 11.24%1.34I 74.63%NM 46.13%61.8%2026-07-18 09:05