默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Marseille v Toulouse

2026-11-01 19:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Marseille (主队)

预测 51.98%1.92公平赔率
EV -1.23%
优势 -0.648%
Kelly -1.37%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.90

博彩公司预测分布
50.59%51.90%52.08%52.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.811.831.9059.52%55.32%54.64%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

Toulouse (客队)

预测 23.99%4.17公平赔率
EV -2.13%
优势 -0.522%
Kelly -0.692%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.08

博彩公司预测分布
23.33%24.00%23.89%25.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.833.804.0828.99%26.10%26.32%24.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.03%4.16公平赔率
EV -1.96%
优势 -0.481%
Kelly -0.637%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.08

博彩公司预测分布
23.52%24.10%24.03%24.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.843.804.0827.78%26.04%26.32%24.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Marseille (主队):51.98%;Toulouse (客队):23.99%;平局:24.03%。 对于“Marseille (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.92。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为1.90,期望值为-1.23%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%EV -1.23%E -0.648%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 24.11%EV -2.13%E -0.522%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 24.11%EV -1.96%E -0.481%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.7%2026-10-18 20:04
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.65%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.49%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 21:23
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.09%EV -4.53%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.09%EV -4.37%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 19:54
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 20:09
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 20:09
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.29%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 20:45
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.88%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-18 21:09
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.88%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 21:14
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.88%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 20:50
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 20:09
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 21:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 21:24
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.40%EV -5.91%E -3.27%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.89%EV -4.77%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -3.88%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 21:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.88%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 19:20
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -6.29%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-18 21:13
picklebet_au🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 19:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.29%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 21:14
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -6.29%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 21:15
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 22:14
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-18 23:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -8.51%E -4.83%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -7.49%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 19:20
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-18 21:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.13%EV -11.11%E -6.50%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.09%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-18 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -11.63%E -6.84%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -13.50%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-18 19:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.19%EV -12.67%E -7.54%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.93%EV -17.24%E -5.00%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -13.50%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-18 19:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%2.0%2026-10-18 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%170.3%2026-10-18 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%170.3%2026-10-18 23:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 22:10