Langue:Français
Marseille v Toulouse
Résultat du match
Marseille (Local)
Prévision 51.98%1.92cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.648%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.59%51.90%52.08%52.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.811.831.9059.52%55.32%54.64%52.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Toulouse (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.99%4.17cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -0.522%
Kelly -0.692%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.33%24.00%23.89%25.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.833.804.0828.99%26.10%26.32%24.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 24.03%4.16cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -0.481%
Kelly -0.637%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.52%24.10%24.03%24.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.843.804.0827.78%26.04%26.32%24.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Marseille (Local) : 51.98% ; Toulouse (Visiteur) : 23.99% ; Match nul : 24.03%. Pour Marseille (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.92. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.90, pour une espérance de -1.23% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%EV -1.23%E -0.648%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.11%EV -2.13%E -0.522%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.11%EV -1.96%E -0.481%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-10-18 20:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.65%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.49%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-18 21:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.09%EV -4.53%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.09%EV -4.37%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-18 19:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 20:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 20:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 20:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.29%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.88%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-18 21:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.88%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 21:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.88%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 20:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 20:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 21:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 21:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.40%EV -5.91%E -3.27%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.89%EV -4.77%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -3.88%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 21:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.88%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-18 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 19:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -6.29%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-18 21:13 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 19:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.29%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 21:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -6.29%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -8.51%E -4.83%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -7.49%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-18 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-18 21:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.13%EV -11.11%E -6.50%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.09%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-18 19:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -11.63%E -6.84%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -13.50%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-18 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.19%EV -12.67%E -7.54%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.93%EV -17.24%E -5.00%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -13.50%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-10-18 19:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 2.0% | 2026-10-18 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63% | 170.3% | 2026-10-18 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63% | 170.3% | 2026-10-18 23:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-18 22:10 |