Idioma:Español
Marseille v Toulouse
Resultado del partido
Marseille (Local)
Predicción 51.98%1.92momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.648%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.59%51.90%52.08%52.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.811.831.9059.52%55.32%54.64%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Toulouse (Visitante)
Predicción 23.99%4.17momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -0.522%
Kelly -0.692%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.33%24.00%23.89%25.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.453.833.804.0828.99%26.10%26.32%24.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.03%4.16momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -0.481%
Kelly -0.637%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.52%24.10%24.03%24.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.843.804.0827.78%26.04%26.32%24.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Marseille (Local): 51.98%; Toulouse (Visitante): 23.99%; Empate: 24.03%. Para Marseille (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.92. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.90, con un valor esperado de -1.23%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%EV -1.23%E -0.648%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.11%EV -2.13%E -0.522%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.11%EV -1.96%E -0.481%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-10-18 20:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.65%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.49%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-18 21:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.09%EV -4.53%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.09%EV -4.37%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-18 19:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 20:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 20:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 20:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.29%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.88%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-18 21:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.88%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 21:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.88%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 20:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 20:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 21:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 21:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.40%EV -5.91%E -3.27%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.89%EV -4.77%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -3.88%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 21:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.88%E -0.971%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-18 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 19:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -6.29%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-18 21:13 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.89%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 19:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.29%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 21:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -6.29%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -8.51%E -4.83%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -7.49%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-18 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.03%E -5.16%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.69%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-18 21:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.13%EV -11.11%E -6.50%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.09%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-18 19:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -11.63%E -6.84%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -13.50%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-18 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.19%EV -12.67%E -7.54%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.93%EV -17.24%E -5.00%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -13.50%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-10-18 19:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 2.0% | 2026-10-18 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63% | 170.3% | 2026-10-18 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63% | 170.3% | 2026-10-18 23:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-18 22:10 |