The School of OddsMarseille v Strasbourg
Head to Head
Option 1: Marseille (Local)
Odds
1.5863.29%Min
1.6859.50%Mean
1.6759.88%Median
1.7756.50%Max
Consensus probabilities
53.58%1.866Min
56.27%1.777Max
55.13%1.814Mean
54.97%1.819Median
54.95%1.820IQM
55.17%1.813Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.77 under the IQM model: 54.95%
EV -2.74%Edge -1.55%Kelly -3.55%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Strasbourg (Visit)
Odds
3.5528.17%Min
4.0724.56%Mean
4.1024.39%Median
4.3722.88%Max
Consensus probabilities
22.25%4.495Min
23.85%4.194Max
22.48%4.448Mean
22.45%4.455Median
22.46%4.452IQM
22.47%4.450Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.37 under the IQM model: 22.46%
EV -1.84%Edge -0.422%Kelly -0.547%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.7526.67%Min
4.1723.98%Mean
4.2023.81%Median
4.5222.12%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.36%4.682Min
22.79%4.388Max
22.39%4.467Mean
22.59%4.427Median
22.59%4.427IQM
22.36%4.473Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.52 under the IQM model: 22.59%
EV +2.10%Edge +0.464%Kelly +0.596%Growth +0.012%
Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Marseille (Local) | Strasbourg (Visit) | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50% NM 55.66%EV -2.74% E -1.55% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88% NM 22.54%EV -1.84% E -0.422% K -0.547% G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12% NM 21.80%EV +2.10% E +0.464% K +0.596% G +0.012% | 1.5% | 2026-07-04 04:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14% NM 56.40%EV -5.48% E -3.19% K -7.62% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 22.05%EV -1.17% E -0.266% K -0.344% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 21.56%EV +1.64% E +0.365% K +0.470% G +0.008% | 3.1% | 2026-07-03 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48% NM 55.84%EV -6.03% E -3.53% K -8.50% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 22.47%EV -4.54% E -1.07% K -1.40% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.70%EV -0.614% E -0.140% K -0.181% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-03 13:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88% NM 56.27%EV -8.23% E -4.93% K -12.29% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.37%EV -5.66% E -1.35% K -1.77% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.36%EV -0.614% E -0.140% K -0.181% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-03 14:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82% NM 55.64%EV -6.58% E -3.87% K -9.41% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.52%EV -5.66% E -1.35% K -1.77% G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09% NM 21.84%EV -2.20% E -0.507% K -0.659% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-03 14:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82% NM 55.55%EV -6.58% E -3.87% K -9.41% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.49%EV -5.66% E -1.35% K -1.77% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 21.96%EV -2.87% E -0.668% K -0.871% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-03 14:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.94% E -2.85% K -6.76% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.58%EV -5.66% E -1.35% K -1.77% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.58%EV -5.13% E -1.22% K -1.60% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 14:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.65%EV -6.58% E -3.87% K -9.41% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.23%EV -10.15% E -2.54% K -3.38% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.12%EV -5.13% E -1.22% K -1.60% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-03 13:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88% NM 55.09%EV -8.23% E -4.93% K -12.29% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.00%EV -10.15% E -2.54% K -3.38% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.91%EV -5.13% E -1.22% K -1.60% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-05 12:32 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.96%EV -6.58% E -3.87% K -9.41% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.25%EV -5.66% E -1.35% K -1.77% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.79%EV -7.39% E -1.80% K -2.38% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-03 17:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88% NM 55.11%EV -8.23% E -4.93% K -12.29% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.45%EV -7.91% E -1.93% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.45%EV -7.39% E -1.80% K -2.38% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-03 15:43 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24% NM 54.63%EV -8.78% E -5.29% K -13.31% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.25%EV -12.40% E -3.18% K -4.28% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.12%EV -7.39% E -1.80% K -2.38% G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-03 13:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88% NM 54.65%EV -8.23% E -4.93% K -12.29% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.82%EV -10.15% E -2.54% K -3.38% G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69% NM 22.53%EV -8.52% E -2.10% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-03 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88% NM 54.50%EV -8.23% E -4.93% K -12.29% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.75%EV -10.15% E -2.54% K -3.38% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.75%EV -9.65% E -2.41% K -3.22% G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-03 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11% NM 54.78%EV -11.53% E -7.16% K -18.90% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 22.61%EV -12.40% E -3.18% K -4.28% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 22.61%EV -11.91% E -3.05% K -4.11% G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-03 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11% NM 54.46%EV -11.53% E -7.16% K -18.90% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 22.77%EV -13.52% E -3.51% K -4.74% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 22.77%EV -13.04% E -3.39% K -4.57% G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-03 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29% NM 53.58%EV -13.18% E -8.34% K -22.72% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 23.85%EV -20.26% E -5.71% K -7.95% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 22.57%EV -15.30% E -4.08% K -5.56% G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-07-03 13:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Marseille (Local) | Strasbourg (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.02I 98.04% | 196.1% | 2026-07-05 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.02I 98.04% | 196.1% | 2026-07-05 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.02I 98.04% | 196.1% | 2026-07-05 13:10 |