La escuela de los momiosMarseille v Strasbourg
Resultado del partido
Marseille (Local)
Predicción 57.78%1.73momio equitativo
EV +0.543%
Ventaja +0.312%
Kelly +0.734%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.46%57.53%57.90%59.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.621.621.7465.79%61.59%61.73%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Strasbourg (Visitante)
Predicción 20.60%4.86momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -0.457%
Kelly -0.579%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.30%20.89%20.42%22.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.404.504.7527.03%22.73%22.22%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.62%4.63momio equitativo
EV +2.70%
Ventaja +0.569%
Kelly +0.720%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.50%21.58%21.68%22.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.314.334.7526.32%23.18%23.09%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (24 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.01%EV -4.66%E -2.82%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.50%EV -2.17%E -0.457%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.50%EV +2.70%E +0.569%K +0.720%G +0.019% | 2.7% | 2026-07-07 06:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.93%EV -6.39%E -3.95%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -3.20%E -0.681%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.75%EV -0.542%E -0.118%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 05:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.63%EV +0.543%E +0.312%K +0.734%G +0.004% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.56%EV -5.88%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.80%EV -2.27%E -0.503%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-07-06 15:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -6.39%E -3.95%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -2.70%E -0.601%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-07 05:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.86%EV -8.12%E -5.11%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -2.70%E -0.601%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-07 05:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -2.70%E -0.601%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-07 05:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.12%EV -3.50%E -2.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 04:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -6.39%E -3.95%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 05:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 07:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.63%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-07 05:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.16%EV -2.35%E -1.39%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.92%EV -10.82%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.92%EV -6.38%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 16:35 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.45%EV -3.50%E -2.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -10.82%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -6.38%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.45%EV -3.50%E -2.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -10.82%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -6.38%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 17:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.39%E -3.95%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.35%EV -5.06%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.72%EV -6.60%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-07 05:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -7.03%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 17:40 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -3.50%E -2.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -12.47%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -8.11%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -3.50%E -2.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -12.47%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -8.11%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.04%EV -8.70%E -5.51%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -8.11%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-06 15:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.19%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -11.44%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -8.11%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-07 04:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%EV -7.55%E -4.72%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -9.19%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-07 06:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -6.39%E -3.95%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -15.56%E -3.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.19%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-07 04:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.16%EV -9.86%E -6.32%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -15.56%E -3.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -15.68%E -4.02%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-07 04:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.46%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -20.71%E -5.38%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -16.76%E -4.35%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-03 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 55.22%EV -12.17%E -8.01%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.69%EV -23.80%E -6.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.09%EV -17.84%E -4.69%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-07-07 04:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54% | 10.5% | 2026-07-07 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 33.33% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 33.33% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 33.33% | 194.1% | 2026-07-07 05:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 33.33% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 33.33% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 33.33% | 194.1% | 2026-07-07 05:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 33.33% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 33.33% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 33.33% | 194.1% | 2026-07-07 05:50 |
Arbitraje (2 combinaciones) +0.43%1xBet 1.74 (57.7%) / Coolbet 4.75 (21.1%) / Coolbet 4.75 (21.1%)Ver las 2 combinaciones
| Marseille (Local) | Strasbourg (Visitante) | Empate | Margen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet 1.74 (57.7%) | Coolbet 4.75 (21.1%) | Coolbet 4.75 (21.1%) | +0.425% |
| 1xBet 1.74 (57.6%) | SportsBet 4.70 (21.3%) | Coolbet 4.75 (21.1%) | +0.200% |