The School of Odds

Marseille v Strasbourg

2026-08-21 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Marseille (Local)

Prediction 57.48%1.74fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.45%57.36%59.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.631.621.7064.10%61.44%61.73%58.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Strasbourg (Visit)

Prediction 20.70%4.83fair odd
EV +3.49%
Edge +0.698%
Kelly +0.872%
Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.38%20.74%20.71%22.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.104.534.505.0024.39%22.10%22.22%20.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 21.82%4.58fair odd
EV +0.823%
Edge +0.178%
Kelly +0.227%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.80%21.82%21.93%22.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.274.254.6225.00%23.44%23.53%21.65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.09%EV -5.73%E -3.50%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%EV +3.49%E +0.698%K +0.872%G +0.030%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV -1.80%E -0.399%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-17 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.98%EV -3.43%E -2.04%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88%EV +1.42%E +0.289%K +0.364%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.14%EV -3.98%E -0.904%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-27 14:00
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.98%EV -3.43%E -2.04%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88%EV +1.42%E +0.289%K +0.364%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.14%EV -3.98%E -0.904%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-27 14:00
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.98%EV -3.43%E -2.04%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88%EV +1.42%E +0.289%K +0.364%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.14%EV -3.98%E -0.904%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-27 14:00
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.98%EV -3.43%E -2.04%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88%EV +1.42%E +0.289%K +0.364%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.14%EV -3.98%E -0.904%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-27 14:00
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 58.02%EV -2.29%E -1.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.63%EV -1.07%E -0.223%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 21.35%EV +0.823%E +0.178%K +0.227%G +0.002%1.4%2026-07-23 09:29
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.77%EV -5.16%E -3.13%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -1.69%E -0.355%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -6.16%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 14:00
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.06%EV -4.01%E -2.40%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV -2.72%E -0.579%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.31%EV -0.705%E -0.155%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-23 09:30
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -3.43%E -2.04%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -2.72%E -0.579%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -7.25%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 14:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -3.43%E -2.04%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -2.72%E -0.579%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -7.25%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 14:00
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.66%EV -6.88%E -4.25%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -2.72%E -0.579%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -1.80%E -0.399%K -0.513%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 13:44
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.79%EV -5.73%E -3.50%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -2.72%E -0.579%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -6.16%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 14:00
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.38%EV -6.88%E -4.25%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.72%E -0.579%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -3.98%E -0.904%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 13:34
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 57.75%EV -5.73%E -3.50%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.28%EV -3.34%E -0.716%K -0.911%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.97%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 18:55
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.67%EV -5.16%E -3.13%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.46%EV -3.76%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -5.07%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.67%EV -5.16%E -3.13%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.46%EV -3.76%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -5.07%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:19
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 57.53%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -4.79%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.98%E -0.904%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 19:42
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.24%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -4.79%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.16%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 00:05
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -6.88%E -4.25%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -4.79%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -1.80%E -0.399%K -0.513%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 13:44
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -6.88%E -4.25%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.79%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.98%E -0.904%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 03:52
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.86%EV -8.61%E -5.41%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -4.79%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -1.80%E -0.399%K -0.513%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 06:45
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -6.31%E -3.87%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -4.79%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -8.34%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 13:59
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -6.31%E -3.87%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -4.79%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -8.34%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 14:00
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -6.31%E -3.87%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -4.79%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -8.34%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 14:00
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.79%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -3.98%E -0.904%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 12:44
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.46%E -4.63%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.79%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 09:20
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.58%EV -8.61%E -5.41%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.79%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -3.98%E -0.904%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 13:45
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.79%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.25%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 20:59
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -5.16%E -3.13%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.86%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -7.25%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 08:00
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -6.86%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -5.51%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -6.86%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -5.51%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 13:45
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.88%E -4.25%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -6.86%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 14:00
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -7.46%E -4.63%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -6.86%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 14:00
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -7.46%E -4.63%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -6.86%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 14:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -9.76%E -6.21%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -6.86%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -5.51%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-10 13:43
Suprabets1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.86%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 13:35
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.86%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 13:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -6.88%E -4.25%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.93%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.34%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-23 09:29
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -7.46%E -4.63%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.93%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.34%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 10:59
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -7.46%E -4.63%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.93%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.34%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 10:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -7.46%E -4.63%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.93%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.34%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 11:05
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86%EV -7.46%E -4.63%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -8.93%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 00:35
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86%EV -7.46%E -4.63%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -8.93%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 00:35
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.46%E -4.63%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.93%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.71%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-27 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.88%EV -6.88%E -4.25%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -9.97%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.34%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 17:40
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.88%EV -9.18%E -5.81%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.66%EV -9.97%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.71%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-27 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.88%EV -9.18%E -5.81%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.66%EV -9.97%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.71%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-27 14:01
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.16%EV -2.86%E -1.69%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.92%EV -10.38%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.92%EV -5.51%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 14:40
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.45%EV -4.01%E -2.40%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -10.38%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -5.51%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.45%EV -4.01%E -2.40%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -10.38%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -5.51%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 14:40
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -7.46%E -4.63%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -10.38%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.34%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 12:00
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.74%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -11.00%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-28 00:15
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.21%EV -10.33%E -6.62%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.75%EV -11.00%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.04%EV -11.62%E -2.87%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 17:39
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -4.01%E -2.40%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -12.04%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -7.25%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -4.01%E -2.40%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -12.04%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -7.25%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 14:39
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.19%EV -12.04%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -12.71%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-27 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -13.07%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.34%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 13:59
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -9.76%E -6.21%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.07%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -8.34%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-24 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -15.14%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.34%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-28 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.24%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%4.0%2026-07-27 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.24%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%4.0%2026-07-27 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.24%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%4.0%2026-07-27 15:55
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.95%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%4.5%2026-07-28 01:40