The School of OddsMarseille v Strasbourg
Head to Head
Option 1: Marseille (Local)
Odds
1.5265.79%Min
1.6162.25%Mean
1.6062.50%Median
1.7158.48%Max
Consensus probabilities
55.55%1.800Min
58.43%1.711Max
57.72%1.732Mean
57.77%1.731Median
57.81%1.730IQM
57.78%1.731Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.71 under the IQM model: 57.81%
EV -1.14%Edge -0.670%Kelly -1.61%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Strasbourg (Visit)
Odds
3.7526.67%Min
4.3822.83%Mean
4.6021.74%Median
4.6721.41%Max
Consensus probabilities
20.03%4.994Min
22.52%4.441Max
20.65%4.844Mean
20.55%4.866Median
20.61%4.852IQM
20.67%4.838Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.67 under the IQM model: 20.61%
EV -3.76%Edge -0.804%Kelly -1.02%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.8525.97%Min
4.2623.46%Mean
4.3023.26%Median
4.6221.65%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.23%4.711Min
22.16%4.512Max
21.63%4.622Mean
21.68%4.612Median
21.58%4.634IQM
21.55%4.639Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.62 under the IQM model: 21.58%
EV -0.295%Edge -0.064%Kelly -0.081%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Marseille (Local) ▼ | Strasbourg (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48% NM 57.59%EV -1.14% E -0.670% K -1.61% G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41% NM 21.09%EV -3.76% E -0.804% K -1.02% G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65% NM 21.32%EV -0.295% E -0.064% K -0.081% G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-07-07 06:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.68I 59.52% NM 57.66%EV -2.88% E -1.71% K -4.23% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 21.06%EV -5.20% E -1.13% K -1.44% G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98% NM 21.29%EV -1.81% E -0.397% K -0.509% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-07 06:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.66I 60.24% NM 57.53%EV -4.04% E -2.43% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.76%EV -5.20% E -1.13% K -1.44% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.71%EV -5.04% E -1.15% K -1.48% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 06:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73% NM 57.92%EV -6.35% E -3.92% K -10.24% G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69% NM 20.35%EV -4.99% E -1.08% K -1.38% G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15% NM 21.72%EV -6.77% E -1.57% K -2.04% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-07 06:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50% NM 58.43%EV -7.50% E -4.69% K -12.51% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.32%EV -5.20% E -1.13% K -1.44% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.25%EV -5.04% E -1.15% K -1.48% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-07 06:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50% NM 57.33%EV -7.50% E -4.69% K -12.51% G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99% NM 21.09%EV -10.35% E -2.38% K -3.09% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.58%EV -8.28% E -1.95% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-07 06:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50% NM 57.04%EV -7.50% E -4.69% K -12.51% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.73%EV -13.44% E -3.20% K -4.20% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 21.23%EV -7.20% E -1.67% K -2.18% G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-07 06:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29% NM 58.30%EV -8.66% E -5.48% K -14.93% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.03%EV -5.20% E -1.13% K -1.44% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.67%EV -8.28% E -1.95% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-07 09:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52% NM 56.64%EV -10.39% E -6.71% K -18.90% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 21.41%EV -15.50% E -3.78% K -5.00% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 21.95%EV -13.68% E -3.42% K -4.56% G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-07 06:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52% NM 56.48%EV -10.39% E -6.71% K -18.90% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 21.35%EV -15.50% E -3.78% K -5.00% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 22.16%EV -14.75% E -3.74% K -5.00% G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-07 09:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79% NM 55.55%EV -12.13% E -7.98% K -23.32% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 22.52%EV -22.72% E -6.06% K -8.26% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 21.93%EV -16.91% E -4.39% K -5.93% G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-07-07 06:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth