La escuela de los momios

Marseille v Strasbourg

2026-08-21 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Marseille (Local)

Predicción 57.55%1.74momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -3.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.99%57.56%57.53%59.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.621.611.7064.52%61.75%62.11%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Strasbourg (Visitante)

Predicción 20.73%4.82momio equitativo
EV +3.63%
Ventaja +0.726%
Kelly +0.908%
Crecimiento +0.033%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.38%20.75%20.75%22.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.494.505.0023.81%22.26%22.22%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.73%4.60momio equitativo
EV +0.378%
Ventaja +0.082%
Kelly +0.104%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.03%21.69%21.71%22.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.274.254.6225.64%23.41%23.53%21.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.09%EV -5.62%E -3.43%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%EV +3.63%E +0.726%K +0.908%G +0.033%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV -2.23%E -0.495%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-17 13:49
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 58.02%EV -2.17%E -1.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.63%EV -0.930%E -0.195%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 21.35%EV +0.378%E +0.082%K +0.104%G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-23 09:29
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.06%EV -3.90%E -2.33%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV -2.59%E -0.551%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.31%EV -1.14%E -0.251%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-23 09:30
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.66%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -2.59%E -0.551%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -2.23%E -0.495%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 13:44
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.38%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.59%E -0.551%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -4.40%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 13:34
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 57.75%EV -5.62%E -3.43%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.28%EV -3.21%E -0.687%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.97%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 18:55
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.67%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.46%EV -3.62%E -0.779%K -0.993%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -5.49%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.67%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.46%EV -3.62%E -0.779%K -0.993%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -5.49%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:19
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.53%EV -4.47%E -2.69%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.40%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 17:45
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -2.23%E -0.495%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 13:44
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -4.40%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 03:52
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.40%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 07:44
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 09:20
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.58%EV -8.50%E -5.35%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -4.40%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 13:45
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:34
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:45
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:45
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 17:00
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 17:04
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 17:04
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 17:14
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 19:59
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 22:49
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 12:55
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 20:59
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 57.27%EV -4.47%E -2.69%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -4.40%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 15:34
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 08:00
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 13:45
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-10 13:43
Suprabets1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 13:35
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 13:35
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.98%EV -3.32%E -1.98%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.51%EV -7.77%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.51%EV -3.32%E -0.745%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 16:35
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.98%EV -3.32%E -1.98%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.51%EV -7.77%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.51%EV -3.32%E -0.745%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 16:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.81%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-23 09:29
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.81%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 10:59
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.81%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 10:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.81%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 11:05
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -8.81%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 00:35
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -8.81%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 00:35
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.88%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -9.84%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 17:40
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.16%EV -2.75%E -1.62%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.92%EV -10.26%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.92%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 14:40
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.45%EV -3.90%E -2.33%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -10.26%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.45%EV -3.90%E -2.33%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -10.26%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 14:40
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -10.26%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 12:00
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -10.88%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 08:00
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.74%EV -9.08%E -5.74%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -10.88%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-09 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.74%EV -9.08%E -5.74%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -10.88%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-09 16:45
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.21%EV -10.23%E -6.56%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.75%EV -10.88%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.04%EV -12.01%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 17:39
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -3.90%E -2.33%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.91%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -3.90%E -2.33%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.91%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 14:39
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.95%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 13:59
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -12.95%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 16:35
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -9.08%E -5.74%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -12.95%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 07:55
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.95%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-24 12:40
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.61%EV -10.80%E -6.97%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -12.95%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -15.27%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 17:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%3.6%2026-07-26 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%3.6%2026-07-25 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%3.6%2026-07-25 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%3.6%2026-07-25 17:50