L’École des cotes

Marseille v Strasbourg

2026-08-21 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Marseille (Local)

Prévision 57.55%1.74cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -3.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.99%57.56%57.53%59.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.621.611.7064.52%61.75%62.11%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Strasbourg (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.73%4.82cote équitable
EV +3.63%
Avantage +0.726%
Kelly +0.908%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.38%20.75%20.75%22.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.494.505.0023.81%22.26%22.22%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.73%4.60cote équitable
EV +0.378%
Avantage +0.082%
Kelly +0.104%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.03%21.69%21.71%22.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.274.254.6225.64%23.41%23.53%21.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.09%EV -5.62%E -3.43%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%EV +3.63%E +0.726%K +0.908%G +0.033%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV -2.23%E -0.495%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-17 13:49
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 58.02%EV -2.17%E -1.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.63%EV -0.930%E -0.195%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 21.35%EV +0.378%E +0.082%K +0.104%G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-23 09:29
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.06%EV -3.90%E -2.33%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV -2.59%E -0.551%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.31%EV -1.14%E -0.251%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-23 09:30
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.66%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -2.59%E -0.551%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -2.23%E -0.495%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 13:44
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.38%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.59%E -0.551%K -0.699%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -4.40%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 13:34
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 57.75%EV -5.62%E -3.43%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.28%EV -3.21%E -0.687%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.97%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 18:55
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.67%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.46%EV -3.62%E -0.779%K -0.993%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -5.49%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.67%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.46%EV -3.62%E -0.779%K -0.993%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%EV -5.49%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:19
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.53%EV -4.47%E -2.69%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.40%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 17:45
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -2.23%E -0.495%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 13:44
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -4.40%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 03:52
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.40%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 07:44
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 09:20
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.58%EV -8.50%E -5.35%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -4.40%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 13:45
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:34
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:45
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:45
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 17:00
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 17:04
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 17:04
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 17:14
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 19:59
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 22:49
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.84%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 12:55
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 20:59
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 57.27%EV -4.47%E -2.69%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -4.40%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 15:34
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -5.05%E -3.06%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 08:00
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 13:45
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-10 13:43
Suprabets1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 13:35
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.73%E -1.50%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 13:35
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.98%EV -3.32%E -1.98%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.51%EV -7.77%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.51%EV -3.32%E -0.745%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 16:35
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.98%EV -3.32%E -1.98%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.51%EV -7.77%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.51%EV -3.32%E -0.745%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 16:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.81%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-23 09:29
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.81%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 10:59
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.81%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 10:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.81%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 11:05
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -8.81%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 00:35
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -8.81%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 00:35
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.88%EV -6.77%E -4.18%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -9.84%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 17:40
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.16%EV -2.75%E -1.62%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.92%EV -10.26%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.92%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 14:40
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.45%EV -3.90%E -2.33%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -10.26%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.45%EV -3.90%E -2.33%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -10.26%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -5.92%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 14:40
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -7.35%E -4.56%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -10.26%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 12:00
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -10.88%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -6.57%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 08:00
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.74%EV -9.08%E -5.74%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -10.88%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-09 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.74%EV -9.08%E -5.74%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -10.88%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.09%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-09 16:45
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.21%EV -10.23%E -6.56%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.75%EV -10.88%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.04%EV -12.01%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 17:39
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -3.90%E -2.33%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.91%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -3.90%E -2.33%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.91%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 14:39
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.95%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-17 13:59
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -7.92%E -4.95%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -12.95%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 16:35
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -9.08%E -5.74%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -12.95%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 07:55
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -9.65%E -6.15%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.95%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-24 12:40
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.61%EV -10.80%E -6.97%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -12.95%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -15.27%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%3.6%2026-07-26 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%3.6%2026-07-25 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%3.6%2026-07-25 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%3.6%2026-07-25 17:50