The School of Odds
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Lyon v Angers

2026-10-31 19:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lyon (Local)

Prediction 67.54%1.48fair odd
EV -0.043%
Edge -0.029%
Kelly -0.089%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.31%67.53%67.69%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.391.391.4875.76%72.19%71.94%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Angers (Visit)

Prediction 13.65%7.33fair odd
EV +5.10%
Edge +0.662%
Kelly +0.761%
Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 7.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.48%13.58%13.58%15.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.746.507.7017.54%14.83%15.38%12.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.81%5.32fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.272%
Kelly -0.336%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.95%18.89%18.73%20.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.844.805.2422.73%20.66%20.83%19.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lyon (Local): 67.54%; Angers (Visit): 13.65%; Draw: 18.81%. For Angers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.33. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.70, producing a positive expected value of +5.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 68.41%EV -2.74%E -1.91%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.79%EV +5.10%E +0.662%K +0.761%G +0.039%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.80%EV -1.42%E -0.272%K -0.336%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-18 20:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.44%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV +2.37%E +0.316%K +0.364%G +0.009%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -4.06%E -0.795%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 19:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.15%E -5.99%K -22.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +2.37%E +0.316%K +0.364%G +0.009%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 20:59
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.29%EV -6.12%E -4.40%K -15.70%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.09%EV -1.05%E -0.144%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -4.06%E -0.795%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.35%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.01%EV -1.05%E -0.144%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -9.70%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 20:10
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.72%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.06I 14.16%NM 13.43%EV -3.64%E -0.515%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.85%EV -5.37%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 22:20
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -4.46%E -0.637%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 20:09
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -4.46%E -0.637%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 20:13
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.80%E -4.93%K -17.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.46%E -0.637%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.47%E -5.45%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.46%E -0.637%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -4.06%E -0.795%K -0.989%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.15%E -5.99%K -22.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.46%E -0.637%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.64%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-18 20:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -7.47%E -5.45%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -8.55%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -2.18%E -0.418%K -0.518%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 20:00
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.80%E -4.93%K -17.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.64%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-18 20:25
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.64%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-18 21:25
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -13.46%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -13.46%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 21:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -13.46%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 21:24
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -6.80%E -4.93%K -17.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -11.58%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 20:25
picklebet_au🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.15%E -5.99%K -22.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.46%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-18 20:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.78%EV -9.50%E -7.09%K -27.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.46%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-18 20:23
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.72%EV -7.47%E -5.45%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -14.69%E -2.35%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -7.82%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 20:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.93%EV -10.17%E -7.65%K -30.83%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.14%EV -15.38%E -2.48%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.93%EV -17.23%E -3.91%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-18 20:20
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -0.043%E -0.029%K -0.089%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -18.11%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -9.70%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 21:23
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 65.29%EV -10.85%E -8.22%K -33.90%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.12%EV -22.20%E -3.89%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.59%EV -17.23%E -3.91%K -5.07%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-18 20:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 68.23%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.47%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.29%3.9%2026-10-18 23:45
Smarkets◎1.32I 75.76%NM 65.02%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.43%16.5%2026-10-18 19:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 20:15
Arbitrage (4 combinations) +0.36%Bovada 1.48 (67.8%) / 1xBet 7.70 (13.0%) / 1xBet 5.24 (19.2%)Show all 4 combinations
Lyon (Local)Angers (Visit)DrawMargin
Bovada🎯 1.48 (67.8%)1xBet🎯 7.70 (13.0%)1xBet🎯 5.24 (19.2%)+0.363%
Bovada🎯 1.48 (67.7%)1xBet🎯 7.70 (13.0%)Tipico (DE)🎯 5.20 (19.3%)+0.215%
Bovada🎯 1.48 (67.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 7.50 (13.3%)1xBet🎯 5.24 (19.1%)+0.015%
Bovada🎯 1.48 (67.6%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 7.50 (13.3%)1xBet🎯 5.24 (19.1%)+0.015%