StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lyon v Angers

2026-10-31 19:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Matchresultat

25 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lyon (Hemma)

Prognos 67.54%1.48rättvist odds
EV +0.633%
Fördel +0.425%
Kelly +1.29%
Tillväxt +0.008%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.49

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.15%67.53%67.69%68.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.321.391.391.4975.76%72.17%71.94%67.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Angers (Borta)

Prognos 13.65%7.33rättvist odds
EV +5.10%
Fördel +0.662%
Kelly +0.761%
Tillväxt +0.039%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
12.48%13.58%13.58%15.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.706.746.507.7017.54%14.83%15.38%12.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 18.81%5.32rättvist odds
EV -1.42%
Fördel -0.272%
Kelly -0.336%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.24

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.95%18.89%18.73%20.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.404.844.805.2422.73%20.66%20.83%19.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Lyon (Hemma): 67.54%; Angers (Borta): 13.65%; Oavgjort: 18.81%. För Angers (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.33. 3 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 7.70, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +5.10%.

Spelbolagsodds (25 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 68.41%EV -2.74%E -1.91%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.79%EV +5.10%E +0.662%K +0.761%G +0.039%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.80%EV -1.42%E -0.272%K -0.336%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-18 20:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.44%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV +2.37%E +0.316%K +0.364%G +0.009%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -4.06%E -0.795%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 19:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.15%E -5.99%K -22.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +2.37%E +0.316%K +0.364%G +0.009%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 20:59
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.29%EV -6.12%E -4.40%K -15.70%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.09%EV -1.05%E -0.144%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -4.06%E -0.795%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.35%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.01%EV -1.05%E -0.144%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -9.70%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 20:10
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.72%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.06I 14.16%NM 13.43%EV -3.64%E -0.515%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.85%EV -5.37%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 22:20
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -4.46%E -0.637%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 20:09
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -4.46%E -0.637%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 20:13
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.80%E -4.93%K -17.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.46%E -0.637%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.47%E -5.45%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.46%E -0.637%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -4.06%E -0.795%K -0.989%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.15%E -5.99%K -22.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.46%E -0.637%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.64%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-18 20:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -7.47%E -5.45%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -8.55%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -2.18%E -0.418%K -0.518%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 20:00
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.80%E -4.93%K -17.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.64%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-18 20:25
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.64%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-18 21:25
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -13.46%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -13.46%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 21:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -13.46%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 21:24
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -6.80%E -4.93%K -17.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -11.58%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 20:25
picklebet_au🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.15%E -5.99%K -22.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.46%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-18 20:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.78%EV -9.50%E -7.09%K -27.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.46%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-18 20:23
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.72%EV -7.47%E -5.45%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -14.69%E -2.35%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -7.82%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 20:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.93%EV -10.17%E -7.65%K -30.83%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.14%EV -15.38%E -2.48%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.93%EV -17.23%E -3.91%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-18 20:20
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.15%EV +0.633%E +0.425%K +1.29%G +0.008%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.93%EV -18.11%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -9.70%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-19 01:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 65.29%EV -10.85%E -8.22%K -33.90%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.12%EV -22.20%E -3.89%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.59%EV -17.23%E -3.91%K -5.07%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-18 20:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 68.23%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.47%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.29%3.9%2026-10-18 23:45
Smarkets◎1.32I 75.76%NM 65.02%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.43%16.5%2026-10-18 19:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 20:15
Arbitrage (12 kombinationer) +0.82%Bovada 1.49 (67.7%) / 1xBet 7.70 (13.1%) / 1xBet 5.24 (19.2%)Visa alla 12 kombinationer
Lyon (Hemma)Angers (Borta)OavgjortMarginal
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.7%)1xBet🎯 7.70 (13.1%)1xBet🎯 5.24 (19.2%)+0.822%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.6%)1xBet🎯 7.70 (13.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 5.20 (19.4%)+0.673%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 7.50 (13.4%)1xBet🎯 5.24 (19.2%)+0.471%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.4%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 7.50 (13.4%)1xBet🎯 5.24 (19.2%)+0.471%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.3%)Marathon Bet🎯 7.50 (13.4%)Tipico (DE)🎯 5.20 (19.3%)+0.323%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.3%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 7.50 (13.4%)Tipico (DE)🎯 5.20 (19.3%)+0.323%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.3%)1xBet🎯 7.70 (13.0%)Marathon Bet🎯 5.10 (19.7%)+0.292%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.3%)1xBet🎯 7.70 (13.0%)SportsBet🎯 5.10 (19.7%)+0.292%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.3%)1xBet🎯 7.70 (13.0%)FanDuel🎯 5.10 (19.7%)+0.292%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.1%)1xBet🎯 7.70 (13.0%)Pinnacle🎯 5.03 (19.9%)+0.018%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.1%)SportsBet🎯 7.25 (13.8%)1xBet🎯 5.24 (19.1%)+0.009%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.1%)Betr (AU)🎯 7.25 (13.8%)1xBet🎯 5.24 (19.1%)+0.009%