Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lyon v Angers

2026-10-31 19:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Résultat du match

25 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lyon (Local)

Prévision 67.54%1.48cote équitable
EV +0.633%
Avantage +0.425%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.15%67.53%67.69%68.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.321.391.391.4975.76%72.17%71.94%67.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Angers (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.65%7.33cote équitable
EV +5.10%
Avantage +0.662%
Kelly +0.761%
Croissance +0.039%

avec la cote maximale 7.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.48%13.58%13.58%15.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.706.746.507.7017.54%14.83%15.38%12.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 18.81%5.32cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.272%
Kelly -0.336%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.95%18.89%18.73%20.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.844.805.2422.73%20.66%20.83%19.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Lyon (Local) : 67.54% ; Angers (Visiteur) : 13.65% ; Match nul : 18.81%. Pour Angers (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 7.33. 3 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 7.70, pour une espérance positive de +5.10%.

Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 68.41%EV -2.74%E -1.91%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.79%EV +5.10%E +0.662%K +0.761%G +0.039%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.80%EV -1.42%E -0.272%K -0.336%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-18 20:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.44%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV +2.37%E +0.316%K +0.364%G +0.009%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -4.06%E -0.795%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-18 19:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.15%E -5.99%K -22.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +2.37%E +0.316%K +0.364%G +0.009%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 20:59
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.29%EV -6.12%E -4.40%K -15.70%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.09%EV -1.05%E -0.144%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -4.06%E -0.795%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.35%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.01%EV -1.05%E -0.144%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -9.70%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 20:10
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.72%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.06I 14.16%NM 13.43%EV -3.64%E -0.515%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.85%EV -5.37%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 22:20
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -4.46%E -0.637%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 20:09
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -4.46%E -0.637%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 20:13
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.80%E -4.93%K -17.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.46%E -0.637%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.47%E -5.45%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.46%E -0.637%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -4.06%E -0.795%K -0.989%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.15%E -5.99%K -22.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.46%E -0.637%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.64%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-18 20:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -7.47%E -5.45%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -8.55%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -2.18%E -0.418%K -0.518%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 20:00
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.80%E -4.93%K -17.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.94%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.64%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-18 20:25
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.64%E -2.24%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-18 21:25
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -13.46%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -13.46%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 21:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -13.46%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 21:24
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -6.80%E -4.93%K -17.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -11.58%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 20:25
picklebet_au🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.15%E -5.99%K -22.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.46%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-18 20:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.78%EV -9.50%E -7.09%K -27.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -11.28%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.46%E -2.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-18 20:23
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.72%EV -7.47%E -5.45%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -14.69%E -2.35%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.65%EV -7.82%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 20:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.93%EV -10.17%E -7.65%K -30.83%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.14%EV -15.38%E -2.48%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.93%EV -17.23%E -3.91%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-18 20:20
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.15%EV +0.633%E +0.425%K +1.29%G +0.008%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.93%EV -18.11%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -9.70%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-19 01:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 65.29%EV -10.85%E -8.22%K -33.90%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.12%EV -22.20%E -3.89%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.59%EV -17.23%E -3.91%K -5.07%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-18 20:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 68.23%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.47%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.29%3.9%2026-10-18 23:45
Smarkets◎1.32I 75.76%NM 65.02%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.43%16.5%2026-10-18 19:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 20:15
Arbitrage (12 combinaisons) +0.82%Bovada 1.49 (67.7%) / 1xBet 7.70 (13.1%) / 1xBet 5.24 (19.2%)Afficher les 12 combinaisons
Lyon (Local)Angers (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.7%)1xBet🎯 7.70 (13.1%)1xBet🎯 5.24 (19.2%)+0.822%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.6%)1xBet🎯 7.70 (13.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 5.20 (19.4%)+0.673%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 7.50 (13.4%)1xBet🎯 5.24 (19.2%)+0.471%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.4%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 7.50 (13.4%)1xBet🎯 5.24 (19.2%)+0.471%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.3%)Marathon Bet🎯 7.50 (13.4%)Tipico (DE)🎯 5.20 (19.3%)+0.323%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.3%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 7.50 (13.4%)Tipico (DE)🎯 5.20 (19.3%)+0.323%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.3%)1xBet🎯 7.70 (13.0%)Marathon Bet🎯 5.10 (19.7%)+0.292%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.3%)1xBet🎯 7.70 (13.0%)SportsBet🎯 5.10 (19.7%)+0.292%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.3%)1xBet🎯 7.70 (13.0%)FanDuel🎯 5.10 (19.7%)+0.292%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.1%)1xBet🎯 7.70 (13.0%)Pinnacle🎯 5.03 (19.9%)+0.018%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.1%)SportsBet🎯 7.25 (13.8%)1xBet🎯 5.24 (19.1%)+0.009%
Bovada🎯 1.49 (67.1%)Betr (AU)🎯 7.25 (13.8%)1xBet🎯 5.24 (19.1%)+0.009%