Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lorient v Brest

2026-11-02 19:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lorient (Local)

Prediction 38.23%2.62fair odd
EV -0.233%
Edge -0.089%
Kelly -0.144%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.56%38.22%38.31%40.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.422.402.6143.86%41.37%41.67%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brest (Visit)

Prediction 33.60%2.98fair odd
EV +0.811%
Edge +0.270%
Kelly +0.405%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.48%33.60%33.47%34.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.802.803.0038.17%35.70%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.17%3.55fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.393%
Kelly +0.545%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.90%28.19%28.22%29.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.313.303.6032.79%30.19%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lorient (Local): 38.23%; Brest (Visit): 33.60%; Draw: 28.17%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.60, producing a positive expected value of +1.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.60%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.45%EV -2.55%E -0.879%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV +1.42%E +0.393%K +0.545%G +0.008%3.1%2026-10-27 11:22
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.75%EV -0.233%E -0.089%K -0.144%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.33%EV -3.56%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.91%EV -0.555%E -0.157%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-27 10:00
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.23%E -1.48%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -1.40%E -0.400%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 11:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.28%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV +0.811%E +0.270%K +0.405%G +0.003%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%EV -2.81%E -0.814%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-27 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.28%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV +0.811%E +0.270%K +0.405%G +0.003%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%EV -2.81%E -0.814%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-27 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.28%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV +0.811%E +0.270%K +0.405%G +0.003%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%EV -2.81%E -0.814%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-27 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.28%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV +0.811%E +0.270%K +0.405%G +0.003%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%EV -2.81%E -0.814%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-27 10:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.55%E -0.879%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -2.81%E -0.814%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-27 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.55%E -0.879%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -2.81%E -0.814%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-27 11:19
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.22%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 09:59
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.22%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-27 10:00
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.22%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-27 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.22%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-27 10:00
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.22%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-27 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.22%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-27 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.23%E -1.48%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.22%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 11:20
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.22%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 12:07
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.22%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 11:50
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.22%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-27 11:20
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.22%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-27 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.22%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-27 11:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.22%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-27 11:20
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.63%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-27 10:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 12:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 09:59
Caesars🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.02%EV -8.64%E -3.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -4.23%E -1.48%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-27 11:57
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-27 12:22
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-27 11:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 12:22
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -4.23%E -1.48%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 10:00
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -4.23%E -1.48%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 10:00
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -4.23%E -1.48%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 10:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -4.23%E -1.48%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 09:59
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -4.23%E -1.48%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 09:59
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -4.23%E -1.48%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 09:59
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 12:22
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 09:59
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 09:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -10.95%E -4.13%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-27 12:21
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.56%EV -1.38%E -0.535%K -0.873%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -6.92%E -2.50%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.39%EV -9.57%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 12:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 12:22
picklebet_au🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-27 12:22
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 09:59
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 10:00
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 10:00
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -11.96%E -4.56%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-27 12:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -11.32%E -4.88%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -11.26%E -3.57%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-27 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -11.32%E -4.88%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -11.26%E -3.57%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-27 10:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.26%EV -10.94%E -4.69%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.26%EV -9.94%E -3.71%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.48%EV -11.82%E -3.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-27 12:22
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-27 12:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -10.95%E -4.13%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-27 12:22
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.58%EV -12.85%E -5.63%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.58%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -14.08%E -4.62%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-27 10:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-10-27 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.46%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.80%4.3%2026-10-27 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.46%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.80%4.3%2026-10-27 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.65%4.8%2026-10-27 12:50
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 36.92%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.23%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%6.6%2026-10-27 12:35
Arbitrage (12 combinations) +0.58%1xBet 2.61 (38.5%) / Unibet (SE) 3.00 (33.5%) / Coolbet 3.60 (27.9%)Show all 12 combinations
Lorient (Local)Brest (Visit)DrawMargin
1xBet🎯 2.61 (38.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (27.9%)+0.578%
1xBet🎯 2.61 (38.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (27.9%)+0.578%
1xBet🎯 2.61 (38.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.00 (33.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (27.9%)+0.578%
1xBet🎯 2.61 (38.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (27.9%)+0.578%
Pinnacle🎯 2.58 (38.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.4%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.129%
Pinnacle🎯 2.58 (38.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.4%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.129%
Pinnacle🎯 2.58 (38.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.00 (33.4%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.129%
Pinnacle🎯 2.58 (38.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.4%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.129%
1xBet🎯 2.61 (38.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.3%)1xBet🎯 3.53 (28.3%)+0.024%
1xBet🎯 2.61 (38.3%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.3%)1xBet🎯 3.53 (28.3%)+0.024%
1xBet🎯 2.61 (38.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.00 (33.3%)1xBet🎯 3.53 (28.3%)+0.024%
1xBet🎯 2.61 (38.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.3%)1xBet🎯 3.53 (28.3%)+0.024%