Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lorient v Brest

2026-11-02 19:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lorient (Local)

Prévision 38.19%2.62cote équitable
EV -0.318%
Avantage -0.122%
Kelly -0.197%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.60%38.22%38.22%40.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.282.422.402.6143.86%41.35%41.67%38.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Brest (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.59%2.98cote équitable
EV +0.784%
Avantage +0.261%
Kelly +0.392%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.48%33.60%33.46%34.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.802.803.0038.17%35.71%35.71%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.21%3.54cote équitable
EV +1.57%
Avantage +0.435%
Kelly +0.602%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.90%28.17%28.32%29.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.313.303.6032.79%30.24%30.30%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Lorient (Local) : 38.19% ; Brest (Visiteur) : 33.59% ; Match nul : 28.21%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.54. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.60, pour une espérance positive de +1.57%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.60%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.45%EV -2.58%E -0.888%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV +1.57%E +0.435%K +0.602%G +0.009%3.1%2026-10-27 11:22
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.75%EV -0.318%E -0.122%K -0.197%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.33%EV -3.58%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.91%EV -0.409%E -0.116%K -0.162%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-27 10:00
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -10.25%E -4.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -1.26%E -0.359%K -0.502%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 11:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.28%EV -5.28%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV +0.784%E +0.261%K +0.392%G +0.003%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%EV -2.67%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-27 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.28%EV -5.28%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV +0.784%E +0.261%K +0.392%G +0.003%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%EV -2.67%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-27 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.28%EV -5.28%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV +0.784%E +0.261%K +0.392%G +0.003%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%EV -2.67%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-27 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.28%EV -5.28%E -2.13%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV +0.784%E +0.261%K +0.392%G +0.003%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%EV -2.67%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-27 10:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.58%E -0.888%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -2.67%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-27 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.58%E -0.888%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -2.67%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-27 11:19
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 09:59
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-27 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 11:20
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 12:07
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 11:50
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-27 11:20
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -10.25%E -4.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-27 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-27 11:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-27 11:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.61%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-27 13:00
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-27 10:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-27 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 09:59
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 13:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 13:19
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 13:20
Caesars🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.02%EV -8.72%E -3.65%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-27 11:57
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-27 11:19
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -0.699%E -0.269%K -0.437%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-27 13:22
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 12:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 10:00
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 10:00
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 10:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 09:59
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 09:59
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 09:59
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -10.97%E -4.14%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-27 12:21
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-27 12:54
picklebet_au🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-27 12:22
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-27 12:54
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -10.25%E -4.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 09:59
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -10.25%E -4.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 10:00
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -10.25%E -4.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -5.93%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 10:00
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -11.98%E -4.57%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-27 12:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -11.39%E -4.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-27 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -11.39%E -4.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -7.61%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-27 10:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.33%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.32%EV -9.97%E -3.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-27 12:55
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-27 12:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -10.97%E -4.14%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-27 12:22
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.58%EV -12.92%E -5.67%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.58%EV -9.29%E -3.44%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-27 10:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-10-27 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.16%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.95%2.7%2026-10-27 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.16%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.95%2.7%2026-10-27 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 37.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.78%3.3%2026-10-27 13:25
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 37.81%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%4.9%2026-10-27 13:25
Arbitrage (12 combinaisons) +0.58%1xBet 2.61 (38.5%) / Unibet (SE) 3.00 (33.5%) / Coolbet 3.60 (27.9%)Afficher les 12 combinaisons
Lorient (Local)Brest (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
1xBet🎯 2.61 (38.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (27.9%)+0.578%
1xBet🎯 2.61 (38.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (27.9%)+0.578%
1xBet🎯 2.61 (38.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.00 (33.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (27.9%)+0.578%
1xBet🎯 2.61 (38.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (27.9%)+0.578%
Pinnacle🎯 2.60 (38.6%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (27.9%)+0.429%
Pinnacle🎯 2.60 (38.6%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (27.9%)+0.429%
Pinnacle🎯 2.60 (38.6%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.00 (33.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (27.9%)+0.429%
Pinnacle🎯 2.60 (38.6%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (27.9%)+0.429%
1xBet🎯 2.61 (38.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.3%)1xBet🎯 3.53 (28.3%)+0.024%
1xBet🎯 2.61 (38.3%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.3%)1xBet🎯 3.53 (28.3%)+0.024%
1xBet🎯 2.61 (38.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.00 (33.3%)1xBet🎯 3.53 (28.3%)+0.024%
1xBet🎯 2.61 (38.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.3%)1xBet🎯 3.53 (28.3%)+0.024%