The School of OddsLe Havre v AS Monaco
Head to Head
Option 1: Le Havre (Local)
Odds
3.4528.99%Min
3.9625.24%Mean
4.0025.00%Median
4.2423.58%Max
Consensus probabilities
22.61%4.423Min
24.37%4.104Max
23.17%4.315Mean
23.30%4.292Median
23.27%4.297IQM
23.17%4.315Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.24 under the IQM model: 23.27%
EV -1.32%Edge -0.310%Kelly -0.406%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: AS Monaco (Visit)
Odds
1.6460.98%Min
1.7656.97%Mean
1.7557.14%Median
1.8454.35%Max
Consensus probabilities
51.26%1.951Min
54.21%1.845Max
52.75%1.896Mean
52.52%1.904Median
52.54%1.903IQM
52.72%1.897Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.84 under the IQM model: 52.54%
EV -3.33%Edge -1.81%Kelly -3.96%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.4528.99%Min
3.8625.91%Mean
3.9025.64%Median
4.2423.58%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.18%4.315Min
24.73%4.044Max
24.08%4.153Mean
24.19%4.135Median
24.19%4.135IQM
24.10%4.149Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.24 under the IQM model: 24.19%
EV +2.55%Edge +0.601%Kelly +0.786%Growth +0.020%
Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Le Havre (Local) | AS Monaco (Visit) | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.24I 23.58% NM 23.23%EV -1.32% E -0.310% K -0.406% G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35% NM 53.54%EV -3.33% E -1.81% K -3.96% G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58% NM 23.23%EV +2.55% E +0.601% K +0.786% G +0.020% | 1.5% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Coolbet | 4.20I 23.81% NM 23.21%EV -2.25% E -0.535% K -0.702% G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95% NM 53.57%EV -4.38% E -2.41% K -5.34% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 23.21%EV +1.58% E +0.376% K +0.494% G +0.008% | 2.6% | 2026-07-03 17:50 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.68%EV -6.90% E -1.73% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.43% E -3.02% K -6.79% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.68%EV -3.26% E -0.814% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 14:54 |
| SportsBet | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.10%EV -4.57% E -1.12% K -1.48% G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18% NM 53.22%EV -6.48% E -3.64% K -8.31% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.68%EV -3.26% E -0.814% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 14:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.54%EV -6.90% E -1.73% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18% NM 52.91%EV -6.48% E -3.64% K -8.31% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.54%EV -3.26% E -0.814% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-03 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.61%EV -4.57% E -1.12% K -1.48% G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48% NM 54.21%EV -10.16% E -5.94% K -14.31% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.18%EV -3.26% E -0.814% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-03 14:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.23%EV -4.57% E -1.12% K -1.48% G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95% NM 52.34%EV -4.38% E -2.41% K -5.34% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.43%EV -5.68% E -1.46% K -1.96% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.33%EV -6.90% E -1.73% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50% NM 52.73%EV -7.00% E -3.96% K -9.10% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.93%EV -5.68% E -1.46% K -1.96% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.19%EV -6.90% E -1.73% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.02%EV -8.06% E -4.60% K -10.74% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.79%EV -5.68% E -1.46% K -1.96% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-03 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.80I 26.32% NM 23.98%EV -11.56% E -3.04% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47% NM 52.36%EV -8.58% E -4.93% K -11.60% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.66%EV -6.89% E -1.79% K -2.42% G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-04 12:44 |
| Bet Victor | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.50%EV -9.23% E -2.37% K -3.18% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 52.38%EV -8.06% E -4.60% K -10.74% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.12%EV -8.09% E -2.13% K -2.89% G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 04:09 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.91%EV -6.90% E -1.73% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80% NM 52.97%EV -9.11% E -5.26% K -12.47% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.12%EV -8.09% E -2.13% K -2.89% G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-05 12:32 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.18%EV -6.90% E -1.73% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18% NM 52.09%EV -6.48% E -3.64% K -8.31% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.73%EV -9.30% E -2.48% K -3.38% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 12:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.12%EV -8.06% E -2.04% K -2.73% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 52.19%EV -8.06% E -4.60% K -10.74% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.69%EV -10.51% E -2.84% K -3.89% G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 12:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.80I 26.32% NM 23.23%EV -11.56% E -3.04% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17% NM 52.24%EV -11.21% E -6.63% K -16.24% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 24.52%EV -12.93% E -3.59% K -4.97% G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-04 12:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.75I 26.67% NM 23.39%EV -12.72% E -3.39% K -4.63% G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17% NM 51.90%EV -11.21% E -6.63% K -16.24% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 24.71%EV -14.14% E -3.98% K -5.55% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-04 12:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.45I 28.99% NM 24.37%EV -19.70% E -5.71% K -8.04% G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98% NM 51.26%EV -13.83% E -8.44% K -21.62% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 24.37%EV -16.56% E -4.80% K -6.76% G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-07-04 04:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Le Havre (Local) | AS Monaco (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.02I 98.04% | 196.1% | 2026-07-05 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.02I 98.04% | 196.1% | 2026-07-05 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.02I 98.04% | 196.1% | 2026-07-05 13:10 |