La escuela de los momios

Le Havre v AS Monaco

2026-08-23 15:15 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Le Havre (Local)

Predicción 28.00%3.57momio equitativo
EV +0.815%
Ventaja +0.226%
Kelly +0.314%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.48%27.99%28.04%29.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.373.353.6032.26%29.68%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AS Monaco (Visitante)

Predicción 47.13%2.12momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -3.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.12%47.15%47.19%48.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.881.971.952.0553.19%50.71%51.28%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.87%4.02momio equitativo
EV -0.523%
Ventaja -0.131%
Kelly -0.174%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.68%24.86%24.77%26.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.713.704.0029.41%26.98%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%EV +0.815%E +0.226%K +0.314%G +0.003%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.03%EV -3.39%E -1.65%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%EV -0.523%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-26 00:14
Marathon Bet3.54I 28.25%NM 27.39%EV -0.865%E -0.244%K -0.341%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.00%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.61%EV -2.02%E -0.512%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 00:15
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%EV -0.523%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-10 14:59
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 12:09
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
BetRivers3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:09
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
Bally Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:09
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -3.39%E -1.65%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 08:05
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.39%E -1.65%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 23:03
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.39%E -1.65%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.39%E -1.65%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 23:05
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97%EV -7.16%E -3.63%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -3.01%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 14:59
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 14:59
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.01%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:59
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.01%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:59
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 20:17
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 07:45
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.63%EV -3.39%E -1.65%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.83%EV -4.25%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 23:03
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -1.77%E -0.447%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 05:20
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -1.77%E -0.447%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 05:20
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 23:04
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.91%EV -9.99%E -5.23%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -15.44%E -4.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-20 12:10
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.91%EV -9.99%E -5.23%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -15.44%E -4.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-20 12:10
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 28.73%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.08%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.20%EV -2.26%E -0.576%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 19:05
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -3.39%E -1.65%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 05:19
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 15:29
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -9.99%E -5.23%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -3.01%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 14:59
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.99%E -5.23%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-10 15:00
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 00:05
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 00:05
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 00:05
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 00:04
LowVig.ag3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -8.15%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.62%EV -3.86%E -1.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -3.01%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -8.15%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.62%EV -3.86%E -1.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -3.01%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:19
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.99%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -6.69%E -3.38%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 20:34
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -6.69%E -3.38%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 12:14
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 05:19
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.77%EV -9.99%E -5.23%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -12.21%E -3.46%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-24 15:19
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.47%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 08:05
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.57%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 20:34
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.30%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 05:20
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -13.19%E -4.25%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -11.40%E -6.06%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -15.44%E -4.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-24 08:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 28.60%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%4.4%2026-07-26 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 52.64%2.06I 48.54%NM 27.85%2.94I 34.01%NM 19.51%74.3%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 52.64%2.06I 48.54%NM 27.85%2.94I 34.01%NM 19.51%74.3%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 53.33%2.06I 48.54%NM 27.44%2.94I 34.01%NM 19.23%76.9%2026-07-25 23:30