L’École des cotes

Le Havre v AS Monaco

2026-08-23 15:15 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Le Havre (Local)

Prévision 28.00%3.57cote équitable
EV +0.815%
Avantage +0.226%
Kelly +0.314%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.48%27.99%28.04%29.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.373.353.6032.26%29.68%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AS Monaco (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.13%2.12cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -3.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.12%47.15%47.19%48.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.881.971.952.0553.19%50.71%51.28%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.87%4.02cote équitable
EV -0.523%
Avantage -0.131%
Kelly -0.174%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.68%24.86%24.77%26.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.713.704.0029.41%26.98%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%EV +0.815%E +0.226%K +0.314%G +0.003%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.03%EV -3.39%E -1.65%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%EV -0.523%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-26 00:14
Marathon Bet3.54I 28.25%NM 27.39%EV -0.865%E -0.244%K -0.341%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.00%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.61%EV -2.02%E -0.512%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 00:15
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%EV -0.523%E -0.131%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-10 14:59
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 12:09
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
BetRivers3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:09
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
Bally Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:10
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.99%E -0.567%K -0.794%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 12:09
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -3.39%E -1.65%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 08:05
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.39%E -1.65%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 23:03
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.39%E -1.65%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.39%E -1.65%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 23:05
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97%EV -7.16%E -3.63%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -3.01%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 14:59
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.74%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 14:59
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.01%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:59
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.01%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:59
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.75%E -2.87%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 20:17
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 07:45
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.63%EV -3.39%E -1.65%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.83%EV -4.25%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 23:03
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -1.77%E -0.447%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 05:20
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -1.77%E -0.447%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 05:20
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 23:04
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.91%EV -9.99%E -5.23%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -15.44%E -4.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-20 12:10
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.91%EV -9.99%E -5.23%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -15.44%E -4.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-20 12:10
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 28.73%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.08%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.20%EV -2.26%E -0.576%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 19:05
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -3.39%E -1.65%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 05:19
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 15:29
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -9.99%E -5.23%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -3.01%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 14:59
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.99%E -5.23%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-10 15:00
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 00:05
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 00:05
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 00:05
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.59%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 00:04
LowVig.ag3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -8.15%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.62%EV -3.86%E -1.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -3.01%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -8.15%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.62%EV -3.86%E -1.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -3.01%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:19
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.99%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -6.69%E -3.38%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -10.47%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 20:34
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -6.69%E -3.38%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 12:14
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 05:19
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.77%EV -9.99%E -5.23%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -12.21%E -3.46%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-24 15:19
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.47%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 08:05
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.57%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -9.23%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 20:34
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -11.79%E -3.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -8.10%E -4.16%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.30%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 05:20
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -13.19%E -4.25%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -11.40%E -6.06%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -15.44%E -4.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-24 08:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 28.60%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%4.4%2026-07-26 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 52.64%2.06I 48.54%NM 27.85%2.94I 34.01%NM 19.51%74.3%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 52.64%2.06I 48.54%NM 27.85%2.94I 34.01%NM 19.51%74.3%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 53.33%2.06I 48.54%NM 27.44%2.94I 34.01%NM 19.23%76.9%2026-07-25 23:30