Language:English
Strasbourg v Nice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Strasbourg (Local)
Prediction 54.02%1.85fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -5.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.89%53.88%54.14%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.691.701.7762.11%59.13%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nice (Visit)
Prediction 21.76%4.60fair odd
EV +3.37%
Edge +0.710%
Kelly +0.899%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.91%21.89%21.65%23.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.394.384.7526.32%22.76%22.86%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.21%4.13fair odd
EV -0.719%
Edge -0.175%
Kelly -0.232%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.32%24.23%24.21%24.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.893.904.1027.03%25.72%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Strasbourg (Local): 54.02%; Nice (Visit): 21.76%; Draw: 24.21%. For Nice (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.60. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.42%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV +3.37%E +0.710%K +0.899%G +0.030% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -0.719%E -0.175%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.42%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV +3.37%E +0.710%K +0.899%G +0.030% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -0.719%E -0.175%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.42%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV +3.37%E +0.710%K +0.899%G +0.030% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -0.719%E -0.175%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.41%EV -9.78%E -5.86%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV +2.28%E +0.486%K +0.617%G +0.014% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -3.14%E -0.785%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -10.86%E -6.58%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV +2.28%E +0.486%K +0.617%G +0.014% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.14%E -0.785%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -10.86%E -6.58%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV +2.28%E +0.486%K +0.617%G +0.014% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.14%E -0.785%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -10.86%E -6.58%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV +2.28%E +0.486%K +0.617%G +0.014% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.14%E -0.785%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -10.86%E -6.58%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV +2.28%E +0.486%K +0.617%G +0.014% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.14%E -0.785%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.51%EV -4.38%E -2.47%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.88%EV +0.544%E +0.118%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.61%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-22 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.44%EV -11.40%E -6.95%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV +0.108%E +0.024%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -11.94%E -7.33%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV +0.108%E +0.024%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -7.08%E -4.12%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.07%E -0.460%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -13.02%E -8.09%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -2.07%E -0.460%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -9.24%E -5.50%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -4.24%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -5.33%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15%EV -7.08%E -4.12%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.42%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -6.77%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.42%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.42%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 18:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.44%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -10.77%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -6.77%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 18:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -10.77%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.13%E -3.88%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 18:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.13%E -3.88%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -5.46%E -3.12%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -17.30%E -4.55%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 18:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-04-22 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-04-22 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-04-22 18:45 |