La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Strasbourg v Nice
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Strasbourg (Local)
Predicción 54.02%1.85momio equitativo
EV -4.38%
Ventaja -2.47%
Kelly -5.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.89%53.88%54.14%56.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.691.701.7762.11%59.13%58.82%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nice (Visitante)
Predicción 21.76%4.60momio equitativo
EV +3.37%
Ventaja +0.710%
Kelly +0.899%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.91%21.89%21.65%23.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.394.384.7526.32%22.76%22.86%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.21%4.13momio equitativo
EV -0.719%
Ventaja -0.175%
Kelly -0.232%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.32%24.23%24.21%24.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.703.893.904.1027.03%25.72%25.64%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.42%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV +3.37%E +0.710%K +0.899%G +0.030% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -0.719%E -0.175%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.42%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV +3.37%E +0.710%K +0.899%G +0.030% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -0.719%E -0.175%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.42%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV +3.37%E +0.710%K +0.899%G +0.030% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -0.719%E -0.175%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.41%EV -9.78%E -5.86%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV +2.28%E +0.486%K +0.617%G +0.014% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -3.14%E -0.785%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -10.86%E -6.58%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV +2.28%E +0.486%K +0.617%G +0.014% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.14%E -0.785%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -10.86%E -6.58%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV +2.28%E +0.486%K +0.617%G +0.014% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.14%E -0.785%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -10.86%E -6.58%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV +2.28%E +0.486%K +0.617%G +0.014% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.14%E -0.785%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -10.86%E -6.58%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV +2.28%E +0.486%K +0.617%G +0.014% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.14%E -0.785%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.51%EV -4.38%E -2.47%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.88%EV +0.544%E +0.118%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.61%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-22 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.44%EV -11.40%E -6.95%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV +0.108%E +0.024%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -11.94%E -7.33%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV +0.108%E +0.024%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -7.08%E -4.12%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.07%E -0.460%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -13.02%E -8.09%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -2.07%E -0.460%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -9.24%E -5.50%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -4.24%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -5.33%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15%EV -7.08%E -4.12%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.42%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -6.77%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.42%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.42%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 18:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.44%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -10.77%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -6.77%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 18:53 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -10.77%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.13%E -3.88%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 18:49 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.13%E -3.88%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -5.46%E -3.12%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -17.30%E -4.55%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 18:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-04-22 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-04-22 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-04-22 18:45 |