L’École des cotes

Strasbourg v Nice

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 19:00 UTC

Score final : Strasbourg 0–2 Nice

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

28 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Strasbourg (Local)

Prévision 54.02%1.85cote équitable
EV -4.38%
Avantage -2.47%
Kelly -5.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.89%53.88%54.14%56.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.691.701.7762.11%59.13%58.82%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nice (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.76%4.60cote équitable
EV +3.37%
Avantage +0.710%
Kelly +0.899%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.91%21.89%21.65%23.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.394.384.7526.32%22.76%22.86%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.21%4.13cote équitable
EV -0.719%
Avantage -0.175%
Kelly -0.232%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.32%24.23%24.21%24.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.703.893.904.1027.03%25.72%25.64%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.42%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV +3.37%E +0.710%K +0.899%G +0.030%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -0.719%E -0.175%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 18:50
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.42%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV +3.37%E +0.710%K +0.899%G +0.030%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -0.719%E -0.175%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 18:50
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.42%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV +3.37%E +0.710%K +0.899%G +0.030%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -0.719%E -0.175%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 18:50
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.41%EV -9.78%E -5.86%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV +2.28%E +0.486%K +0.617%G +0.014%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -3.14%E -0.785%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:50
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -10.86%E -6.58%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV +2.28%E +0.486%K +0.617%G +0.014%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.14%E -0.785%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -10.86%E -6.58%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV +2.28%E +0.486%K +0.617%G +0.014%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.14%E -0.785%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:50
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -10.86%E -6.58%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV +2.28%E +0.486%K +0.617%G +0.014%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.14%E -0.785%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -10.86%E -6.58%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV +2.28%E +0.486%K +0.617%G +0.014%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.14%E -0.785%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:49
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.51%EV -4.38%E -2.47%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.88%EV +0.544%E +0.118%K +0.150%G +0.001%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.61%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-22 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.44%EV -11.40%E -6.95%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV +0.108%E +0.024%K +0.030%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 18:50
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -11.94%E -7.33%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV +0.108%E +0.024%K +0.030%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 18:50
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -7.08%E -4.12%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.07%E -0.460%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 18:35
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -13.02%E -8.09%K -21.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -2.07%E -0.460%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 18:50
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -9.24%E -5.50%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -4.24%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:34
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -5.33%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.56%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:35
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15%EV -7.08%E -4.12%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.42%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -6.77%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.42%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.42%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.35%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:35
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 18:40
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 18:40
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 18:40
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.60%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 18:39
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.44%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -10.77%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -6.77%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 18:53
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -10.77%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.13%E -3.88%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 18:49
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -15.13%E -3.88%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 18:50
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -5.46%E -3.12%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -17.30%E -4.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 18:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-04-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-04-22 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-04-22 18:45