La scuola delle quote

RC Lens v Toulouse

Inizio: 2026-04-21 19:10 UTC

Finale: RC Lens 4–1 Toulouse

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

RC Lens (Casa)

Previsione 60.64%1.65quota equa
EV -4.79%
Vantaggio -3.05%
Kelly -8.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.57%60.69%60.50%63.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.511.511.5768.97%66.24%66.23%63.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Toulouse (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.93%5.90quota equa
EV +10.08%
Vantaggio +1.55%
Kelly +1.83%
Crescita +0.185%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.75%16.93%17.05%18.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.655.806.5020.00%17.69%17.24%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.42%4.46quota equa
EV +0.893%
Vantaggio +0.198%
Kelly +0.255%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.31%22.38%22.44%23.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.194.254.5025.64%23.86%23.53%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.93%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV +10.08%E +1.55%K +1.83%G +0.185%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV +0.893%E +0.198%K +0.255%G +0.002%4.3%2026-04-21 18:49
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.10%EV -8.43%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV +5.84%E +0.935%K +1.11%G +0.065%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 18:44
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.86%EV -8.43%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.56%EV +3.30%E +0.542%K +0.648%G +0.021%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 19:05
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.86%EV -8.43%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.56%EV +3.30%E +0.542%K +0.648%G +0.021%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 19:05
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -8.43%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 19:05
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.47%E -0.568%K -0.737%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 19:05
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -9.64%E -6.47%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -9.64%E -6.47%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 19:05
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -9.64%E -6.47%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -9.64%E -6.47%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -10.25%E -6.92%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -4.71%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 19:05
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 19:05
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.27%EV -4.79%E -3.05%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.20%EV +0.594%E +0.100%K +0.120%G +0.001%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.53%EV -4.26%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.53%EV -10.85%E -7.38%K -23.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -1.78%E -0.306%K -0.370%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.71%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 19:05
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -12.07%E -8.32%K -26.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -1.78%E -0.306%K -0.370%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.83%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 19:05
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -7.21%E -4.72%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -5.16%E -0.922%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.08%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.86%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -4.71%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 19:05
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.86%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 18:04
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -8.55%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -5.83%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 19:05
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -7.82%E -5.15%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV -8.55%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 19:05
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -7.82%E -5.15%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV -8.55%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 19:05
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 19:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.21%E -4.72%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 19:00
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.21%E -4.72%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 19:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.21%E -4.72%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 19:00
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.21%E -4.72%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.02%EV -10.25%E -6.92%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 15:35
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.02%EV -10.25%E -6.92%K -21.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 15:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-04-21 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-04-21 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-04-21 19:05