La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
RC Lens v Toulouse
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
RC Lens (Local)
Predicción 60.64%1.65momio equitativo
EV -4.79%
Ventaja -3.05%
Kelly -8.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.57%60.69%60.50%63.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.511.511.5768.97%66.24%66.23%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Toulouse (Visitante)
Predicción 16.93%5.90momio equitativo
EV +10.08%
Ventaja +1.55%
Kelly +1.83%
Crecimiento +0.185%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.75%16.93%17.05%18.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.655.806.5020.00%17.69%17.24%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.42%4.46momio equitativo
EV +0.893%
Ventaja +0.198%
Kelly +0.255%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.31%22.38%22.44%23.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.194.254.5025.64%23.86%23.53%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.93%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV +10.08%E +1.55%K +1.83%G +0.185% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV +0.893%E +0.198%K +0.255%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 18:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.10%EV -8.43%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV +5.84%E +0.935%K +1.11%G +0.065% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.86%EV -8.43%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.56%EV +3.30%E +0.542%K +0.648%G +0.021% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.86%EV -8.43%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.56%EV +3.30%E +0.542%K +0.648%G +0.021% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -8.43%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.47%E -0.568%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -9.64%E -6.47%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -9.64%E -6.47%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -9.64%E -6.47%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -9.64%E -6.47%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -10.25%E -6.92%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -4.71%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.27%EV -4.79%E -3.05%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.20%EV +0.594%E +0.100%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.53%EV -4.26%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.53%EV -10.85%E -7.38%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -1.78%E -0.306%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.71%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -12.07%E -8.32%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -1.78%E -0.306%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.83%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -7.21%E -4.72%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -5.16%E -0.922%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.08%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.86%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -4.71%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.86%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-21 18:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -8.55%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -5.83%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -7.82%E -5.15%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV -8.55%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -7.82%E -5.15%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV -8.55%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| William Hill | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.21%E -4.72%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.21%E -4.72%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.21%E -4.72%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.21%E -4.72%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.02%EV -10.25%E -6.92%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 15:35 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.02%EV -10.25%E -6.92%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 15:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |