L’École des cotesFrançais
RC Lens v Toulouse
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
RC Lens (Local)
Prévision 60.64%1.65cote équitable
EV -4.79%
Avantage -3.05%
Kelly -8.40%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.57%60.69%60.50%63.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.511.511.5768.97%66.24%66.23%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Toulouse (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.93%5.90cote équitable
EV +10.08%
Avantage +1.55%
Kelly +1.83%
Croissance +0.185%
avec la cote maximale 6.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.75%16.93%17.05%18.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.655.806.5020.00%17.69%17.24%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.42%4.46cote équitable
EV +0.893%
Avantage +0.198%
Kelly +0.255%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.31%22.38%22.44%23.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.194.254.5025.64%23.86%23.53%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.93%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV +10.08%E +1.55%K +1.83%G +0.185% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV +0.893%E +0.198%K +0.255%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 18:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.10%EV -8.43%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV +5.84%E +0.935%K +1.11%G +0.065% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.86%EV -8.43%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.56%EV +3.30%E +0.542%K +0.648%G +0.021% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.86%EV -8.43%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.56%EV +3.30%E +0.542%K +0.648%G +0.021% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -8.43%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.47%E -0.568%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -9.64%E -6.47%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -9.64%E -6.47%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -9.64%E -6.47%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -9.64%E -6.47%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -10.25%E -6.92%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -4.71%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +1.61%E +0.268%K +0.322%G +0.005% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.27%EV -4.79%E -3.05%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.20%EV +0.594%E +0.100%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.53%EV -4.26%E -0.999%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.53%EV -10.85%E -7.38%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -1.78%E -0.306%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.71%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -12.07%E -8.32%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -1.78%E -0.306%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.83%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -7.21%E -4.72%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -5.16%E -0.922%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.08%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.86%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -4.71%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.86%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-21 18:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -8.55%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -5.83%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -7.82%E -5.15%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV -8.55%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -7.82%E -5.15%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV -8.55%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -3.59%E -0.835%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |
| William Hill | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.21%E -4.72%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.21%E -4.72%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.21%E -4.72%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.21%E -4.72%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.56%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.02%EV -10.25%E -6.92%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 15:35 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.02%EV -10.25%E -6.92%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -15.33%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 15:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 19:05 |