Language:English
Lorient v Nice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lorient (Local)
Prediction 44.59%2.24fair odd
EV -5.02%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -4.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.70%44.62%44.73%45.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.062.052.1352.63%48.58%48.78%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nice (Visit)
Prediction 27.72%3.61fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.605%
Kelly -0.845%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.05%27.75%27.64%28.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.353.353.5334.48%29.84%29.85%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.69%3.61fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -0.885%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.65%27.63%27.64%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.353.5033.33%30.03%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lorient (Local): 44.59%; Nice (Visit): 27.72%; Draw: 27.69%. For Nice (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.53, with an expected value of -2.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.14%EV -5.02%E -2.36%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.24%EV -2.14%E -0.605%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.63%EV -3.65%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.04%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.04%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.73%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -3.10%E -0.885%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -9.04%E -4.43%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.70%EV -15.28%E -8.04%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.63%EV -19.60%E -6.76%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.67%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-04 19:23 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.