语言:简体中文
Lorient v Nice
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Lorient (主队)
预测 44.59%2.24公平赔率
EV -5.02%
优势 -2.36%
Kelly -4.44%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.13
博彩公司预测分布
43.70%44.62%44.73%45.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.902.062.052.1352.63%48.58%48.78%46.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
Nice (客队)
预测 27.72%3.61公平赔率
EV -2.14%
优势 -0.605%
Kelly -0.845%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.53
博彩公司预测分布
27.05%27.75%27.64%28.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.353.353.5334.48%29.84%29.85%28.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.69%3.61公平赔率
EV -3.10%
优势 -0.885%
Kelly -1.24%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
26.65%27.63%27.64%28.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.333.353.5033.33%30.03%29.85%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Lorient (主队)：44.59%；Nice (客队)：27.72%；平局：27.69%。 对于“Nice (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.61。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.53，期望值为-2.14%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.14%EV -5.02%E -2.36%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.24%EV -2.14%E -0.605%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.63%EV -3.65%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.04%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.04%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.73%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -3.10%E -0.885%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -9.04%E -4.43%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-04 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-04 19:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.70%EV -15.28%E -8.04%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.63%EV -19.60%E -6.76%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.67%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-04 19:23 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。