赔率学院

Lorient v Nice

开赛时间： 2026-03-04 19:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Lorient (主队)

预测 44.59%2.24公平赔率
EV -5.02%
优势 -2.36%
Kelly -4.44%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.13

博彩公司预测分布
43.70%44.62%44.73%45.50%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.902.062.052.1352.63%48.58%48.78%46.95%MIN均值中位数MAX

Nice (客队)

预测 27.72%3.61公平赔率
EV -2.14%
优势 -0.605%
Kelly -0.845%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.53

博彩公司预测分布
27.05%27.75%27.64%28.63%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.903.353.353.5334.48%29.84%29.85%28.33%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 27.69%3.61公平赔率
EV -3.10%
优势 -0.885%
Kelly -1.24%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.65%27.63%27.64%28.01%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.003.333.353.5033.33%30.03%29.85%28.57%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 45.14%EV -5.02%E -2.36%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.24%EV -2.14%E -0.605%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.63%EV -3.65%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 19:24
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.04%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 19:25
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.04%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 19:24
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 19:25
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 19:25
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 19:24
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:25
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:24
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:25
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:24
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.73%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 19:24
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -3.10%E -0.885%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 19:25
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 19:25
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 19:25
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 19:25
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 19:25
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 19:24
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-04 19:24
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -9.04%E -4.43%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:25
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 19:24
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-04 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-04 19:24
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 43.70%EV -15.28%E -8.04%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.63%EV -19.60%E -6.76%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.67%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-04 19:23
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。