預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Lorient v Nice

開賽時間： 2026-03-04 19:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

24 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

45%

28%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Lorient (主隊)

預測 44.59%2.24公平賠率

EV -5.02%

優勢 -2.36%

Kelly -4.44%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.13

博彩公司預測分布

43.70%44.62%44.73%45.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.902.062.052.1352.63%48.58%48.78%46.95%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Nice (客隊)

預測 27.72%3.61公平賠率

EV -2.14%

優勢 -0.605%

Kelly -0.845%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.53

博彩公司預測分布

27.05%27.75%27.64%28.63%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

2.903.353.353.5334.48%29.84%29.85%28.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 27.69%3.61公平賠率

EV -3.10%

優勢 -0.885%

Kelly -1.24%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.50

博彩公司預測分布

26.65%27.63%27.64%28.01%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

3.003.333.353.5033.33%30.03%29.85%28.57%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Lorient (主隊)：44.59%；Nice (客隊)：27.72%；和局：27.69%。對於「Nice (客隊)」，該估計相當於3.61的公平十進位賠率。當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率：最佳賠率為3.53，期望值為-2.14%，未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (24 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊 ▼	客隊	和局	利潤率	更新時間
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.14%EV -5.02%E -2.36%K -4.44%G +0.000%	3.53I 28.33%NM 27.24%EV -2.14%E -0.605%K -0.845%G +0.000%	3.48I 28.74%NM 27.63%EV -3.65%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-04 19:24
Svenska Spel🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.04%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-04 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.04%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-04 19:24
Codere (IT)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -5.47%E -2.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-04 19:25
LeoVegas🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-04 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-04 19:24
Unibet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-04 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-04 19:24
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-04 19:25
Grosvenor🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-04 19:24
NetBet (FR)🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 44.73%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-03-04 19:24
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -3.10%E -0.885%K -1.24%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-04 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-03-04 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-03-04 19:25
888sport🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-03-04 19:25
William Hill🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-03-04 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-03-04 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-03-04 19:24
Betway🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-03-04 19:24
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -9.04%E -4.43%K -8.69%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-03-04 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-03-04 19:24
Coral🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%	12.0%	2026-03-04 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.29%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%	12.0%	2026-03-04 19:24
Bet Victor🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 43.70%EV -15.28%E -8.04%K -16.98%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 28.63%EV -19.60%E -6.76%K -10.32%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 27.67%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000%	20.4%	2026-03-04 19:23

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。