Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VPS Vaasa v SJK Seinäjoki

Kickoff: 2026-07-10 16:00 UTC

Final: VPS Vaasa 1–0 SJK Seinäjoki

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Prediction 52.50%1.90fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -5.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.51%52.43%52.56%53.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.771.8259.88%56.60%56.50%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SJK Seinäjoki (Visit)

Prediction 23.72%4.22fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.609%
Kelly -0.805%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.96%23.77%23.77%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.843.854.1128.57%26.06%25.97%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.78%4.21fair odd
EV -0.135%
Edge -0.032%
Kelly -0.042%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.88%23.80%23.67%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.803.754.2028.17%26.34%26.67%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VPS Vaasa (Local): 52.50%; SJK Seinäjoki (Visit): 23.72%; Draw: 23.78%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -0.135%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.00%EV -4.45%E -2.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.47%EV -2.50%E -0.609%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.53%EV -2.51%E -0.613%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 15:30
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.62%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.59%EV -6.06%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.78%EV -10.36%E -2.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:09
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -13.41%E -3.68%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-10 14:54
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.39%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.93%E -0.969%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -0.135%E -0.032%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 13:33
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 15:24
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -8.46%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 15:53
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -8.46%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 15:54
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 15:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-10 14:55
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 14:55
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.12%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 15:55
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:39
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:39
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:40
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:40
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 14:40
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-10 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-10 15:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-10 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.74%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 15:24
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 15:04
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 15:54
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 14:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-10 15:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-10 15:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.60%E -4.32%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.60%E -4.32%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:34
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 12:44
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-10 14:50
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -8.46%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-10 15:09
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 15:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 15:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 15:49
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 15:50
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-10 14:53
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-10 15:05
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-10 15:05
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-10 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-10 15:05
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-10 15:50
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-10 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-10 15:49
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-10 14:59
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -9.70%E -5.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-10 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.44%EV -10.22%E -5.98%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -15.59%E -4.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-10 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.04%EV -12.32%E -7.38%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.81%EV -13.41%E -3.68%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.14%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-10 15:30
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.02%EV -12.32%E -7.38%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -16.97%E -4.85%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-10 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.5%2026-07-10 15:45
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.5%2026-07-10 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-07-10 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-07-10 15:55

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