La escuela de los momios

VPS Vaasa v SJK Seinäjoki

Inicio: 2026-07-10 16:00 UTC

Final: VPS Vaasa 1–0 SJK Seinäjoki

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Predicción 52.50%1.90momio equitativo
EV -4.45%
Ventaja -2.44%
Kelly -5.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.51%52.43%52.56%53.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.771.771.8259.88%56.60%56.50%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SJK Seinäjoki (Visitante)

Predicción 23.72%4.22momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -0.609%
Kelly -0.805%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.96%23.77%23.77%25.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.843.854.1128.57%26.06%25.97%24.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.78%4.21momio equitativo
EV -0.135%
Ventaja -0.032%
Kelly -0.042%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.88%23.80%23.67%24.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.803.754.2028.17%26.34%26.67%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.00%EV -4.45%E -2.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.47%EV -2.50%E -0.609%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.53%EV -2.51%E -0.613%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 15:30
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 51.62%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.59%EV -6.06%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.78%EV -10.36%E -2.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:09
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -13.41%E -3.68%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-10 14:54
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.39%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.93%E -0.969%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -0.135%E -0.032%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 13:33
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 15:24
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -8.46%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 15:53
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -8.46%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 15:54
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 15:04
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-10 14:55
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 14:55
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.12%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 15:55
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:39
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:39
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:40
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:39
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:40
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:40
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:39
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:40
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:39
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 14:40
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-10 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-10 15:39
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-10 14:54
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.74%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 15:24
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 15:04
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 15:54
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 14:59
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-10 15:39
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-10 15:39
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.60%E -4.32%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:34
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.60%E -4.32%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:34
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 12:44
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 12:45
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-10 14:50
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -8.46%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-10 15:09
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 15:49
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 15:49
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 15:49
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 15:50
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-10 14:53
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-10 15:05
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-10 15:05
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-10 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-10 15:05
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-10 15:50
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-10 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-10 15:49
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-10 14:59
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -9.70%E -5.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-10 12:45
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.44%EV -10.22%E -5.98%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -15.59%E -4.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-10 15:40
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.04%EV -12.32%E -7.38%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.81%EV -13.41%E -3.68%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.14%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-10 15:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.02%EV -12.32%E -7.38%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -16.97%E -4.85%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-10 15:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.5%2026-07-10 15:45
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.5%2026-07-10 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-07-10 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-07-10 15:55