L’École des cotes

VPS Vaasa v SJK Seinäjoki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-10 16:00 UTC

Score final : VPS Vaasa 1–0 SJK Seinäjoki

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Prévision 52.50%1.90cote équitable
EV -4.45%
Avantage -2.44%
Kelly -5.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.51%52.43%52.56%53.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.771.771.8259.88%56.60%56.50%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SJK Seinäjoki (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.72%4.22cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -0.609%
Kelly -0.805%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.96%23.77%23.77%25.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.843.854.1128.57%26.06%25.97%24.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.78%4.21cote équitable
EV -0.135%
Avantage -0.032%
Kelly -0.042%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.88%23.80%23.67%24.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.803.754.2028.17%26.34%26.67%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.00%EV -4.45%E -2.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.47%EV -2.50%E -0.609%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.53%EV -2.51%E -0.613%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 15:30
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 51.62%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.59%EV -6.06%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.78%EV -10.36%E -2.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 15:09
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -13.41%E -3.68%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-10 14:54
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.39%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.93%E -0.969%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -0.135%E -0.032%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 13:33
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 15:24
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -8.46%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 15:53
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -8.46%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 15:54
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 15:04
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-10 14:55
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 14:55
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.12%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 15:55
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:39
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:39
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:40
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:39
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:40
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:40
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:39
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:40
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 15:39
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 14:40
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-10 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-10 15:39
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-10 14:54
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.74%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 15:24
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 15:04
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 15:54
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 14:59
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-10 15:39
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-10 15:39
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.60%E -4.32%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:34
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.60%E -4.32%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:34
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 12:44
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 12:45
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-10 14:50
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -8.46%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-10 15:09
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 15:49
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 15:49
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 15:49
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 15:50
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-10 14:53
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-10 15:05
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-10 15:05
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-10 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-10 15:05
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-10 15:50
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.65%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-10 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-10 15:49
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-10 14:59
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -9.70%E -5.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-10 12:45
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.44%EV -10.22%E -5.98%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -15.59%E -4.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-10 15:40
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.04%EV -12.32%E -7.38%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.81%EV -13.41%E -3.68%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.14%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-10 15:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.02%EV -12.32%E -7.38%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -16.97%E -4.85%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-10 15:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.5%2026-07-10 15:45
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.5%2026-07-10 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-07-10 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-07-10 15:55