Language:English
VPS Vaasa v Ilves Tampere
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
VPS Vaasa (Local)
Prediction 25.02%4.00fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.329%
Kelly +0.437%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.72%25.01%24.93%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.633.654.0530.30%27.56%27.40%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ilves Tampere (Visit)
Prediction 48.86%2.05fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -3.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.61%48.88%48.91%50.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.881.861.9756.18%53.28%53.76%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.12%3.83fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -0.912%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.13%26.11%26.16%27.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.513.553.7033.33%28.47%28.17%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VPS Vaasa (Local): 25.02%; Ilves Tampere (Visit): 48.86%; Draw: 26.12%. For VPS Vaasa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.72%EV +1.33%E +0.329%K +0.437%G +0.006% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.31%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 12:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.21%EV -0.169%E -0.042%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -3.74%E -1.90%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -2.42%E -0.621%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.95%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -2.42%E -0.621%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.95%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -4.42%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.60%EV -6.18%E -3.22%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.97%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.60%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -5.20%E -2.68%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.09%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 13:33 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 15:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.36%EV -6.92%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.14%EV -6.18%E -3.22%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.18%E -3.22%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 07:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.18%E -3.22%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 07:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.62%E -4.61%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -9.11%E -4.90%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 15:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -7.16%E -3.77%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -12.51%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -10.09%E -5.48%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -10.09%E -5.48%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -10.58%E -5.78%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.16%E -3.77%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.62%E -4.61%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 11:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.18%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.13%E -4.33%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-24 03:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -11.18%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.57%EV -7.16%E -3.77%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.51%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 16:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.71%E -2.42%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.71%E -2.42%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.71%E -2.42%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.71%E -2.42%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -8.13%E -4.33%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.58%E -5.78%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.58%E -5.78%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 15:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.21%EV -13.02%E -7.32%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.17%EV -13.68%E -3.97%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.51%EV -12.53%E -7.00%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-24 03:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-24 03:23 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.42%EV -17.43%E -5.28%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.61%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.97%EV -21.65%E -7.22%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15% | 2.0% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15% | 2.0% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15% | 2.0% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |