La escuela de los momios

VPS Vaasa v Ilves Tampere

Inicio: 2026-04-24 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Predicción 25.02%4.00momio equitativo
EV +1.33%
Ventaja +0.329%
Kelly +0.437%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.72%25.01%24.93%26.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.633.654.0530.30%27.56%27.40%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ilves Tampere (Visitante)

Predicción 48.86%2.05momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -3.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.61%48.88%48.91%50.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.881.861.9756.18%53.28%53.76%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.12%3.83momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -0.912%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.13%26.11%26.16%27.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.513.553.7033.33%28.47%28.17%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.72%EV +1.33%E +0.329%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.31%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Pinnacle3.99I 25.06%NM 24.21%EV -0.169%E -0.042%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -3.74%E -1.90%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-24 03:15
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -2.42%E -0.621%K -0.835%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.95%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 01:00
BetAnything3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -2.42%E -0.621%K -0.835%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.95%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 01:00
Marathon Bet3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -4.42%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.60%EV -6.18%E -3.22%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.97%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:00
1xBet3.81I 26.25%NM 24.60%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -5.20%E -2.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.09%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 01:00
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 15:04
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 13:33
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 15:05
GTbets3.72I 26.88%NM 25.36%EV -6.92%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.14%EV -6.18%E -3.22%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 16:30
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:19
BetUS3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:20
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.18%E -3.22%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 07:35
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.18%E -3.22%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 07:35
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.62%E -4.61%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 15:00
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -9.11%E -4.90%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 15:40
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:45
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:40
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:45
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:39
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:40
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:39
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:40
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:40
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:40
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -7.16%E -3.77%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -12.51%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -10.09%E -5.48%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 15:39
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -10.09%E -5.48%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 15:40
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -10.58%E -5.78%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 23:15
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:25
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:15
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.16%E -3.77%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 21:50
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.62%E -4.61%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 03:30
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 11:20
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 11:19
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.18%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.13%E -4.33%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 03:29
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -11.18%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.57%EV -7.16%E -3.77%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.51%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 16:14
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.71%E -2.42%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:04
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.71%E -2.42%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:05
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.71%E -2.42%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:05
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.71%E -2.42%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:05
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -8.13%E -4.33%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 21:55
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.58%E -5.78%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 11:20
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.58%E -5.78%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 15:04
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.21%EV -13.02%E -7.32%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 15:40
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 21:10
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.17%EV -13.68%E -3.97%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.51%EV -12.53%E -7.00%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-24 03:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 03:24
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 03:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.42%EV -17.43%E -5.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 46.61%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.97%EV -21.65%E -7.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%2.0%2026-04-24 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%2.0%2026-04-24 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%2.0%2026-04-24 01:00