Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VPS Vaasa v Ilves Tampere

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Prévision 25.02%4.00cote équitable
EV +1.33%
Avantage +0.329%
Kelly +0.437%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.72%25.01%24.93%26.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.633.654.0530.30%27.56%27.40%24.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Ilves Tampere (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.86%2.05cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -1.90%
Kelly -3.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.61%48.88%48.91%50.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.881.861.9756.18%53.28%53.76%50.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.12%3.83cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -0.912%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.13%26.11%26.16%27.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.513.553.7033.33%28.47%28.17%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : VPS Vaasa (Local) : 25.02% ; Ilves Tampere (Visiteur) : 48.86% ; Match nul : 26.12%. Pour VPS Vaasa (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.00. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.05, soit une espérance positive de +1.33%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.72%EV +1.33%E +0.329%K +0.437%G +0.006%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.31%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 12:15
Pinnacle🎯3.99I 25.06%NM 24.21%EV -0.169%E -0.042%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -3.74%E -1.90%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -5.72%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-24 03:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -2.42%E -0.621%K -0.835%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.95%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 01:00
BetAnything🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -2.42%E -0.621%K -0.835%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.95%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -4.42%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.60%EV -6.18%E -3.22%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.97%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:00
1xBet🎯3.81I 26.25%NM 24.60%EV -4.67%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -5.20%E -2.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.09%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 01:00
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 15:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 13:33
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 15:05
GTbets🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.36%EV -6.92%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.14%EV -6.18%E -3.22%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 16:30
Bovada🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:19
BetUS🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:20
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.18%E -3.22%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 07:35
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.18%E -3.22%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 07:35
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.62%E -4.61%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 15:00
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -9.11%E -4.90%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:45
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:40
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:45
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:39
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:40
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:39
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:40
Everygame🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -7.16%E -3.77%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -12.51%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-24 03:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -10.09%E -5.48%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 15:39
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -10.09%E -5.48%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 15:40
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -10.58%E -5.78%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 23:15
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:25
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.67%E -3.49%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:15
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.16%E -3.77%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 21:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.62%E -4.61%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 03:30
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 11:20
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 11:19
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.18%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.13%E -4.33%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 03:29
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -11.18%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.57%EV -7.16%E -3.77%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.51%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 16:14
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.71%E -2.42%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:04
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.71%E -2.42%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.71%E -2.42%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.71%E -2.42%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -8.13%E -4.33%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 21:55
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.58%E -5.78%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 11:20
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.58%E -5.78%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 15:04
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.21%EV -13.02%E -7.32%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 15:40
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 21:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.17%EV -13.68%E -3.97%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.51%EV -12.53%E -7.00%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-24 03:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 03:24
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 03:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 25.42%EV -17.43%E -5.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 46.61%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.97%EV -21.65%E -7.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%2.0%2026-04-24 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%2.0%2026-04-24 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%2.0%2026-04-24 01:00