Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TPS Turku v SJK Seinäjoki

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 14:04 UTC

Final: TPS Turku 2–0 SJK Seinäjoki

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TPS Turku (Local)

Prediction 26.13%3.83fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.532%
Kelly -0.725%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.13%26.21%26.15%28.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.543.603.7532.26%28.26%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SJK Seinäjoki (Visit)

Prediction 48.76%2.05fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.93%48.68%48.77%49.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.891.881.9955.87%53.04%53.19%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.11%3.98fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.532%
Kelly -0.715%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.22%25.11%25.09%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.633.653.9029.41%27.55%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TPS Turku (Local): 26.13%; SJK Seinäjoki (Visit): 48.76%; Draw: 25.11%. For TPS Turku (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.99%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -1.99%E -0.532%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.76%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -2.07%E -0.532%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 13:58
BetOnline.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 14:00
BetAnything🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 13:59
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:01
Pinnacle🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.40%EV -4.35%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.56%EV -2.98%E -1.50%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.04%EV -3.08%E -0.798%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
GTbets🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 25.93%EV -5.13%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -6.59%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:59
1xBet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 25.87%EV -5.39%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -3.95%E -2.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.62%E -3.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:00
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:01
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:57
BetUS🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.80%E -5.30%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:47
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -9.31%E -5.01%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -9.31%E -5.01%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.80%E -5.30%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.39%E -3.33%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 14:00
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.39%E -3.33%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -7.48%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.58%EV -6.39%E -3.33%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.59%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:58
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.36%E -3.88%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -12.24%E -6.80%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.93%E -2.53%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 13:59
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:59
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -7.36%E -3.88%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -9.80%E -5.30%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:59
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:58
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.80%E -5.30%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.80%E -5.30%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.43%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.86%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.51%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.14%EV -12.73%E -7.11%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -14.63%E -4.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-18 13:59
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -18.98%E -6.12%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%1.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%1.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%1.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%1.6%2026-04-18 14:00