L’École des cotes

TPS Turku v SJK Seinäjoki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 14:04 UTC

Score final : TPS Turku 2–0 SJK Seinäjoki

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

TPS Turku (Local)

Prévision 26.13%3.83cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -0.532%
Kelly -0.725%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.13%26.21%26.15%28.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.543.603.7532.26%28.26%27.78%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SJK Seinäjoki (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.76%2.05cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -3.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.93%48.68%48.77%49.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.891.881.9955.87%53.04%53.19%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.11%3.98cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -0.532%
Kelly -0.715%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.22%25.11%25.09%26.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.633.653.9029.41%27.55%27.40%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -1.99%E -0.532%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.76%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -2.07%E -0.532%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 13:58
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 14:00
BetAnything3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 13:59
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:01
Pinnacle3.66I 27.32%NM 26.40%EV -4.35%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.56%EV -2.98%E -1.50%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.04%EV -3.08%E -0.798%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
GTbets3.63I 27.55%NM 25.93%EV -5.13%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -6.59%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:59
1xBet3.62I 27.62%NM 25.87%EV -5.39%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -3.95%E -2.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.62%E -3.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:00
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:01
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:57
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.80%E -5.30%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:47
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -9.31%E -5.01%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -9.31%E -5.01%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.80%E -5.30%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.39%E -3.33%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 14:00
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.39%E -3.33%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -7.48%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.58%EV -6.39%E -3.33%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.59%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:58
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.36%E -3.88%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:00
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -12.24%E -6.80%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.93%E -2.53%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 13:59
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:59
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:59
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -7.36%E -3.88%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -9.80%E -5.30%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:59
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:58
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.80%E -5.30%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.80%E -5.30%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.43%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.86%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.51%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.14%EV -12.73%E -7.11%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -14.63%E -4.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-18 13:59
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -18.98%E -6.12%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%1.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%1.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%1.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%1.6%2026-04-18 14:00