La escuela de los momios

TPS Turku v SJK Seinäjoki

Inicio: 2026-04-18 14:04 UTC

Final: TPS Turku 2–0 SJK Seinäjoki

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

TPS Turku (Local)

Predicción 26.13%3.83momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -0.532%
Kelly -0.725%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.13%26.21%26.15%28.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.603.7532.26%28.26%27.78%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SJK Seinäjoki (Visitante)

Predicción 48.76%2.05momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -3.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.93%48.68%48.77%49.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.891.881.9955.87%53.04%53.19%50.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.11%3.98momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -0.532%
Kelly -0.715%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.22%25.11%25.09%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.633.653.9029.41%27.55%27.40%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -1.99%E -0.532%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.76%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -2.07%E -0.532%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 13:58
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 14:00
BetAnything3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 13:59
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:01
Pinnacle3.66I 27.32%NM 26.40%EV -4.35%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.56%EV -2.98%E -1.50%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.04%EV -3.08%E -0.798%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:00
GTbets3.63I 27.55%NM 25.93%EV -5.13%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -5.90%E -3.06%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -6.59%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 13:59
1xBet3.62I 27.62%NM 25.87%EV -5.39%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -3.95%E -2.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.62%E -3.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:00
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:01
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:57
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.35%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.80%E -5.30%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:47
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -9.31%E -5.01%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -9.31%E -5.01%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.80%E -5.30%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.39%E -3.33%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 14:00
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.39%E -3.33%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -7.48%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.58%EV -6.39%E -3.33%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.59%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:58
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.36%E -3.88%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -8.83%E -4.72%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 14:00
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -12.24%E -6.80%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -8.34%E -4.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.93%E -2.53%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 13:59
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:59
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:59
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -7.36%E -3.88%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -9.80%E -5.30%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:59
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:58
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.80%E -5.30%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.80%E -5.30%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.12%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.43%EV -6.88%E -3.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.86%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.51%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.14%EV -12.73%E -7.11%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -14.63%E -4.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-18 13:59
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -18.98%E -6.12%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -10.78%E -5.89%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.69%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%1.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%1.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%1.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%1.6%2026-04-18 14:00