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TPS Turku v Ilves Tampere
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TPS Turku (Local)
Prediction 33.54%2.98fair odd
EV +0.629%
Edge +0.210%
Kelly +0.314%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.52%33.59%33.53%34.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.703.0040.00%36.69%37.04%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ilves Tampere (Visit)
Prediction 40.39%2.48fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.426%
Kelly -0.721%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.43%40.34%40.38%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.292.302.4546.51%43.66%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.07%3.84fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.599%
Kelly -0.817%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.83%26.07%26.09%26.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.503.503.7530.30%28.58%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TPS Turku (Local): 33.54%; Ilves Tampere (Visit): 40.39%; Draw: 26.07%. For TPS Turku (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.629%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.84%EV -8.72%E -3.86%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| BetAnything | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.84%EV -8.72%E -3.86%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -2.39%E -0.821%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.50%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.23%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -2.73%E -0.940%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| BetUS | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.98%EV -4.74%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.31%EV -7.20%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -5.07%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.88%EV -7.91%E -3.47%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -7.20%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Betsson | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -5.41%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.30%E -2.71%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -5.41%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.30%E -2.71%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-20 14:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Everygame | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -11.14%E -5.06%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.60%EV -6.75%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.75%EV -2.26%E -0.932%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -2.25%E -0.599%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.55%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-20 12:10 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| GTbets | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.74%EV -9.10%E -3.36%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -1.04%E -0.426%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.83%EV -8.50%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-20 12:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -3.55%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| betano_uk | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-20 11:24 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-20 12:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.42%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.14%EV -5.89%E -2.53%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.42%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.14%EV -5.89%E -2.53%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -6.30%E -2.71%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -6.30%E -2.71%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -11.14%E -5.06%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-20 14:14 |
| Neds | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-20 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-20 12:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -11.14%E -5.06%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-20 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-20 12:10 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-20 12:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.14%E -5.06%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.29%EV -14.47%E -5.67%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.21%EV -9.93%E -4.45%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -16.14%E -6.46%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -13.16%E -6.12%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-07-20 14:35 |