La escuela de los momios

TPS Turku v Ilves Tampere

Inicio: 2026-07-20 15:00 UTC

Final: TPS Turku 1–3 Ilves Tampere

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

TPS Turku (Local)

Predicción 33.54%2.98momio equitativo
EV +0.629%
Ventaja +0.210%
Kelly +0.314%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.52%33.59%33.53%34.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.732.703.0040.00%36.69%37.04%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ilves Tampere (Visitante)

Predicción 40.39%2.48momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.426%
Kelly -0.721%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.43%40.34%40.38%41.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.292.302.4546.51%43.66%43.48%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.07%3.84momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -0.599%
Kelly -0.817%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.83%26.07%26.09%26.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.503.503.7530.30%28.58%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.84%EV -8.72%E -3.86%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 14:35
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.84%EV -8.72%E -3.86%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 14:35
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -2.39%E -0.821%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.50%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.23%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-20 14:35
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -2.73%E -0.940%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 14:35
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 14:35
1xBet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.98%EV -4.74%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.31%EV -7.20%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 14:35
Marathon Bet2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -5.07%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.88%EV -7.91%E -3.47%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -7.20%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-20 14:35
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -5.41%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.30%E -2.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 14:15
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -5.41%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.30%E -2.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 14:15
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 14:14
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-20 14:15
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 14:35
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 14:35
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -11.14%E -5.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-20 14:35
Coolbet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.60%EV -6.75%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.75%EV -2.26%E -0.932%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -2.25%E -0.599%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 14:15
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.55%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 14:15
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 12:10
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:15
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-20 14:15
GTbets2.71I 36.90%NM 34.74%EV -9.10%E -3.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -1.04%E -0.426%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.83%EV -8.50%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 12:10
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -3.55%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:35
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:35
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:35
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:35
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-20 14:35
betano_uk2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 11:24
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 12:10
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 14:15
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 14:15
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 14:15
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.42%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.14%EV -5.89%E -2.53%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.42%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.14%EV -5.89%E -2.53%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -6.30%E -2.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 14:35
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -6.30%E -2.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 14:35
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -11.14%E -5.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-20 14:14
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-20 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-20 12:10
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -11.14%E -5.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-20 14:15
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-20 12:10
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-20 12:09
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.14%E -5.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-20 14:15
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-20 14:15
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.29%EV -14.47%E -5.67%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.21%EV -9.93%E -4.45%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-20 14:35
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -16.14%E -6.46%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -13.16%E -6.12%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-20 14:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-07-20 14:35