L’École des cotes

TPS Turku v Ilves Tampere

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-20 15:00 UTC

Score final : TPS Turku 1–3 Ilves Tampere

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

TPS Turku (Local)

Prévision 33.54%2.98cote équitable
EV +0.629%
Avantage +0.210%
Kelly +0.314%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.52%33.59%33.53%34.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.732.703.0040.00%36.69%37.04%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ilves Tampere (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.39%2.48cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.426%
Kelly -0.721%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.43%40.34%40.38%41.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.292.302.4546.51%43.66%43.48%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.07%3.84cote équitable
EV -2.25%
Avantage -0.599%
Kelly -0.817%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.83%26.07%26.09%26.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.503.503.7530.30%28.58%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.84%EV -8.72%E -3.86%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 14:35
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV +0.629%E +0.210%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.84%EV -8.72%E -3.86%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 14:35
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -2.39%E -0.821%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.50%EV -3.47%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.23%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-20 14:35
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -2.73%E -0.940%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 14:35
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -4.40%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 14:35
1xBet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.98%EV -4.74%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.31%EV -7.20%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 14:35
Marathon Bet2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -5.07%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.88%EV -7.91%E -3.47%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -7.20%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-20 14:35
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -5.41%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.30%E -2.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 14:15
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -5.41%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.30%E -2.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 14:15
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 14:14
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-20 14:15
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 14:35
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 14:35
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -11.14%E -5.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-20 14:35
Coolbet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.60%EV -6.75%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.75%EV -2.26%E -0.932%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -2.25%E -0.599%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 14:15
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.55%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 14:15
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 12:10
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:15
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-20 14:15
GTbets2.71I 36.90%NM 34.74%EV -9.10%E -3.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -1.04%E -0.426%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.83%EV -8.50%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 12:10
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -3.55%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:35
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:35
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:35
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.08%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 14:35
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-20 14:35
betano_uk2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 11:24
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 12:10
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 14:15
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 14:15
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 14:15
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.42%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.14%EV -5.89%E -2.53%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.42%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.14%EV -5.89%E -2.53%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -6.30%E -2.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 14:35
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -6.30%E -2.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 14:35
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -11.14%E -5.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-20 14:14
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-20 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-20 12:10
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -11.78%E -4.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -11.14%E -5.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-20 14:15
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-20 12:10
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-20 12:09
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.14%E -5.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-20 14:15
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-20 14:15
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.29%EV -14.47%E -5.67%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.21%EV -9.93%E -4.45%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-20 14:35
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -16.14%E -6.46%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -13.16%E -6.12%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-20 14:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-07-20 14:35
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-07-20 14:35