Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.57
assuming max odds 6.05
assuming max odds 4.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TPS Turku (Local): 61.10%; IFK Mariehamn (Visit): 17.33%; Draw: 21.57%. For IFK Mariehamn (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.77. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.82%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -5.29%E -3.41%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.89%EV +4.82%E +0.797%K +0.955%G +0.046% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.10%EV -6.17%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-28 06:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV +2.23%E +0.377%K +0.454%G +0.010% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-31 12:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.15%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV +1.36%E +0.232%K +0.280%G +0.004% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 09:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.15%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV +1.36%E +0.232%K +0.280%G +0.004% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 09:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.15%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV +1.36%E +0.232%K +0.280%G +0.004% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 09:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.35%EV -9.57%E -6.46%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -1.24%E -0.218%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.34%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.26%EV -3.32%E -0.595%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -2.93%E -0.652%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 11:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -5.90%E -3.83%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 11:33 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -9.57%E -6.46%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-31 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -12.01%E -8.34%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.99%EV -12.01%E -8.34%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-01 11:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 21.67%EV -7.03%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.29%E -3.41%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -10.48%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 11:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.29%E -3.41%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -10.48%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 11:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -7.12%E -4.69%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 08:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 08:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 08:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 08:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 08:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 08:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 08:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 08:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 08:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 08:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 08:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-01 08:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-01 08:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.42%EV -7.30%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 11:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -8.17%E -1.54%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 10:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -5.90%E -3.83%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -9.04%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -6.17%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 11:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -5.90%E -3.83%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.04%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 11:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.04%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 11:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.04%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 11:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.19%EV -12.01%E -8.34%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -9.04%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-29 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -5.29%E -3.41%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -9.90%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 11:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -5.29%E -3.41%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -9.90%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 11:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -12.01%E -8.34%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.82%EV -9.90%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.43%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-01 08:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.87%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -11.64%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.82%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 11:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -11.64%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 11:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 11:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.29%E -3.41%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 11:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 09:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 09:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 09:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -7.12%E -4.69%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-01 11:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 11:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.68%EV -10.79%E -7.39%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.72%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-01 11:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -12.01%E -8.34%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-01 09:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.83%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-01 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.83%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-01 11:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.83%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-01 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.83%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-01 11:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-01 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-01 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 11:55 |
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