TPS Turku v IFK Mariehamn

2026-08-01 12:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

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Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

60%

17%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

TPS Turku (Local)

Prediction 59.67%1.68fair odd

EV -5.73%

Edge -3.63%

Kelly -9.88%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.31%59.67%59.67%59.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.481.531.541.5868%65%65%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

IFK Mariehamn (Visit)

Prediction 17.22%5.81fair odd

EV -8.71%

Edge -1.64%

Kelly -2.03%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

17.22%17.22%17.22%18.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

4.705.225.305.3021%19%19%19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.11%4.33fair odd

EV -7.56%

Edge -1.89%

Kelly -2.52%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.79%23.11%23.11%23.44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.703.933.954.0027%25%25%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	1.58I 63.29%NM 58.61%EV -5.73%E -3.63%K -9.88%G +0.000%	5.16I 19.38%NM 17.95%EV -11.12%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -8.71%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-25 12:35
LeoVegas	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -7.52%E -4.85%K -13.67%G +0.000%	4.95I 20.20%NM 18.41%EV -14.74%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -7.56%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-07-25 12:20
Unibet	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.51%EV -8.12%E -5.27%K -15.03%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -8.71%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.71%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-07-25 12:15
TABtouch	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.51%EV -8.12%E -5.27%K -15.03%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -8.71%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.71%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-07-25 12:15
Casumo	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.51%EV -8.12%E -5.27%K -15.03%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -8.71%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.71%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-07-25 12:20
Unibet (SE)	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.51%EV -8.12%E -5.27%K -15.03%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -8.71%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.71%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-07-25 12:19
Grosvenor	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.51%EV -8.12%E -5.27%K -15.03%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -8.71%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.71%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-07-25 12:19
Unibet (NL)	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.51%EV -8.12%E -5.27%K -15.03%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -8.71%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.71%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-07-25 12:19
ATG (SE)	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.51%EV -8.12%E -5.27%K -15.03%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -8.71%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.71%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-07-25 12:20
betPARX	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.51%EV -8.12%E -5.27%K -15.03%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -8.71%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.71%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-07-25 12:20
Svenska Spel	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.51%EV -8.12%E -5.27%K -15.03%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -8.71%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.71%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-07-25 12:20
BetRivers	1.53I 65.36%NM 59.67%EV -8.71%E -5.69%K -16.44%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -8.71%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -8.71%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-07-25 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 59.67%EV -8.71%E -5.69%K -16.44%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -8.71%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -8.71%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-07-25 12:20
Virgin Bet	1.53I 65.36%NM 59.57%EV -8.71%E -5.69%K -16.44%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -8.71%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-07-25 12:19
LiveScore Bet	1.53I 65.36%NM 59.57%EV -8.71%E -5.69%K -16.44%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -9.57%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -8.71%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-07-25 12:20
PMU (FR)	1.48I 67.57%NM 59.54%EV -11.70%E -7.90%K -24.37%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -12.16%E -2.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -12.18%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%	13.5%	2026-07-25 12:19
Unibet (FR)	1.48I 67.57%NM 58.31%EV -11.70%E -7.90%K -24.37%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 18.36%EV -19.05%E -4.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 23.33%EV -14.49%E -3.92%K -5.37%G +0.000%	15.9%	2026-07-25 12:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.