Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

TPS Turku v IFK Mariehamn

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-01 12:00 UTC

Score final : TPS Turku 3–0 IFK Mariehamn

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

TPS Turku (Local)

Prévision 61.10%1.64cote équitable
EV -4.07%
Avantage -2.59%
Kelly -7.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.91%61.14%61.13%63.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.511.5769.44%66.20%66.23%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IFK Mariehamn (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.33%5.77cote équitable
EV +4.82%
Avantage +0.797%
Kelly +0.955%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 6.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.89%17.24%17.33%18.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.325.406.0520.83%18.80%18.52%16.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.57%4.64cote équitable
EV +2.46%
Avantage +0.518%
Kelly +0.656%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.34%21.63%21.54%22.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.194.104.7525.64%23.89%24.39%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : TPS Turku (Local) : 61.10% ; IFK Mariehamn (Visiteur) : 17.33% ; Match nul : 21.57%. Pour IFK Mariehamn (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.77. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.05, soit une espérance positive de +4.82%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -5.29%E -3.41%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.89%EV +4.82%E +0.797%K +0.955%G +0.046%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.10%EV -6.17%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 06:49
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV +2.23%E +0.377%K +0.454%G +0.010%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 12:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.15%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV +1.36%E +0.232%K +0.280%G +0.004%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.5%2026-08-01 09:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.15%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV +1.36%E +0.232%K +0.280%G +0.004%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.5%2026-08-01 09:30
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.15%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV +1.36%E +0.232%K +0.280%G +0.004%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.5%2026-08-01 09:34
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.35%EV -9.57%E -6.46%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -1.24%E -0.218%K -0.264%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 23:40
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.34%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.26%EV -3.32%E -0.595%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -2.93%E -0.652%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-01 11:35
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -5.90%E -3.83%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 11:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 23:40
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 23:40
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-27 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -9.57%E -6.46%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -12.01%E -8.34%K -27.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-27 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.99%EV -12.01%E -8.34%K -27.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-01 11:45
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.67%EV -7.03%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 11:50
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.29%E -3.41%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -10.48%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 11:35
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.29%E -3.41%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -10.48%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 11:34
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -7.12%E -4.69%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 08:30
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:29
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:29
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:29
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:30
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 08:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 08:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.42%EV -7.30%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 11:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -8.17%E -1.54%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 10:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -5.90%E -3.83%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -9.04%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -6.17%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 11:34
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -5.90%E -3.83%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.04%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 11:33
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.04%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 11:33
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.04%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 11:35
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.19%EV -12.01%E -8.34%K -27.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -9.04%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-29 12:05
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -5.29%E -3.41%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -9.90%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 11:39
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -5.29%E -3.41%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -9.90%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 11:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -12.01%E -8.34%K -27.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.82%EV -9.90%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.43%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-01 08:29
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.87%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -11.64%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.82%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 11:49
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -11.64%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 11:34
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 11:34
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.29%E -3.41%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 11:50
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 09:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 09:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 09:54
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -7.12%E -4.69%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 11:35
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 11:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.68%EV -10.79%E -7.39%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.72%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-01 11:35
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -12.01%E -8.34%K -27.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 09:45
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.83%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 11:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.83%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 11:35
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.83%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.83%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 11:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-08-01 11:55
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-08-01 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%0.8%2026-08-01 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%0.8%2026-08-01 11:55