Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

TPS Turku v IFK Mariehamn

Início: 2026-08-01 12:00 UTC

Final: TPS Turku 3–0 IFK Mariehamn

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

TPS Turku (Local)

Previsão 61.10%1.64odd justa
EV -4.07%
Vantagem -2.59%
Kelly -7.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.91%61.14%61.13%63.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.511.511.5769.44%66.20%66.23%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IFK Mariehamn (Visitante)

Previsão 17.33%5.77odd justa
EV +4.82%
Vantagem +0.797%
Kelly +0.955%
Crescimento +0.046%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.89%17.24%17.33%18.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.805.325.406.0520.83%18.80%18.52%16.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.57%4.64odd justa
EV +2.46%
Vantagem +0.518%
Kelly +0.656%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.34%21.63%21.54%22.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.194.104.7525.64%23.89%24.39%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: TPS Turku (Local): 61.10%; IFK Mariehamn (Visitante): 17.33%; Empate: 21.57%. Para IFK Mariehamn (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.77. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.05, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.82%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -5.29%E -3.41%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.89%EV +4.82%E +0.797%K +0.955%G +0.046%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.10%EV -6.17%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 06:49
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.94%EV +2.23%E +0.377%K +0.454%G +0.010%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 12:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.15%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV +1.36%E +0.232%K +0.280%G +0.004%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.5%2026-08-01 09:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.15%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV +1.36%E +0.232%K +0.280%G +0.004%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.5%2026-08-01 09:30
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.15%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV +1.36%E +0.232%K +0.280%G +0.004%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.46%E +0.518%K +0.656%G +0.016%3.5%2026-08-01 09:34
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.35%EV -9.57%E -6.46%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -1.24%E -0.218%K -0.264%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 23:40
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.34%EV -4.07%E -2.59%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.26%EV -3.32%E -0.595%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -2.93%E -0.652%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-01 11:35
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -5.90%E -3.83%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 11:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 23:40
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 23:40
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-27 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -9.57%E -6.46%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -12.01%E -8.34%K -27.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-27 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.99%EV -12.01%E -8.34%K -27.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -4.71%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-01 11:45
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.67%EV -7.03%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 11:50
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.29%E -3.41%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -10.48%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 11:35
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -5.29%E -3.41%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -10.48%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 11:34
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -7.12%E -4.69%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 08:30
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:29
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:29
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:29
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:30
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -7.73%E -5.12%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 08:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 08:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -6.44%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 08:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.42%EV -7.30%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 11:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -8.17%E -1.54%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 10:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -5.90%E -3.83%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -9.04%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -6.17%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 11:34
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -5.90%E -3.83%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.04%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 11:33
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.04%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 11:33
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.04%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 11:35
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.19%EV -12.01%E -8.34%K -27.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -9.04%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-29 12:05
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -5.29%E -3.41%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -9.90%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 11:39
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -5.29%E -3.41%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -9.90%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 11:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -12.01%E -8.34%K -27.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.82%EV -9.90%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.43%EV -15.88%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-01 08:29
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.87%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -11.64%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.82%EV -7.68%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 11:49
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -11.64%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -7.25%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 11:34
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 11:34
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.29%E -3.41%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 11:50
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 09:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 09:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.51%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 09:54
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -7.12%E -4.69%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 11:35
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 11:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.68%EV -10.79%E -7.39%K -23.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.72%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-01 11:35
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -12.01%E -8.34%K -27.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.37%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 09:45
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.83%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 11:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.83%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 11:35
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.83%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.35%E -5.56%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.83%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.72%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-01 11:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-08-01 11:55
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-08-01 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%0.8%2026-08-01 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%0.8%2026-08-01 11:55