Language:English
TPS Turku v AC Oulu
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TPS Turku (Local)
Prediction 38.39%2.61fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.829%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.07%38.27%38.36%39.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.432.422.5545.45%41.19%41.32%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AC Oulu (Visit)
Prediction 34.30%2.92fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.425%
Kelly -0.651%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.25%34.41%34.29%36.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.642.622.8840.82%37.89%38.17%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.32%3.66fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.695%
Kelly -0.965%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.18%27.31%27.35%28.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.343.303.5731.75%29.96%30.30%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TPS Turku (Local): 38.39%; AC Oulu (Visit): 34.30%; Draw: 27.32%. For AC Oulu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.88, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -4.03%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -4.03%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-11 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -4.03%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -4.03%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -4.03%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.22%EV -5.19%E -2.10%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV -1.22%E -0.425%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -2.48%E -0.695%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.64%EV -5.57%E -2.26%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.20%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.64%EV -5.57%E -2.26%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.20%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.64%EV -5.57%E -2.26%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.20%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -5.95%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.76%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.95%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.68%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-11 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.95%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.40%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -5.95%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -5.95%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV -6.72%E -2.77%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -5.68%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -8.22%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.19%EV -6.72%E -2.77%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.89%EV -15.97%E -6.52%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.10%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -3.63%E -1.29%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -9.31%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.10%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -6.71%E -2.47%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -5.76%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-11 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.10%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -6.71%E -2.47%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -5.76%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.68%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.68%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.68%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-11 13:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -8.64%E -3.63%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.68%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-11 13:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.64%E -3.63%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-11 13:57 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.64%E -3.63%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.64%E -3.63%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -9.02%E -3.81%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -9.02%E -3.81%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.79%E -4.17%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.40%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.79%E -4.17%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.40%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.79%E -4.17%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -9.79%E -4.17%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-11 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.71%E -5.09%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-11 13:58 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -11.71%E -5.09%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -11.71%E -5.09%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -13.63%E -6.06%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -15.55%E -7.07%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.26%E -5.70%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.40% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 0.7% | 2026-07-11 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.25% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-07-11 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.25% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.25% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
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