La escuela de los momios

TPS Turku v AC Oulu

Inicio: 2026-07-11 14:02 UTC

Final: TPS Turku 3–0 AC Oulu

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

TPS Turku (Local)

Predicción 38.39%2.61momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.829%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.07%38.27%38.36%39.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.432.422.5545.45%41.19%41.32%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AC Oulu (Visitante)

Predicción 34.30%2.92momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.425%
Kelly -0.651%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.25%34.41%34.29%36.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.642.622.8840.82%37.89%38.17%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.32%3.66momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -0.695%
Kelly -0.965%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.18%27.31%27.35%28.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.343.303.5731.75%29.96%30.30%28.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -2.11%E -0.829%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -4.03%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 13:59
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -4.03%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-11 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -4.03%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-11 13:59
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -4.03%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 13:59
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -4.03%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 13:59
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 39.22%EV -5.19%E -2.10%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV -1.22%E -0.425%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -2.48%E -0.695%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-11 13:59
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.64%EV -5.57%E -2.26%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.20%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.64%EV -5.57%E -2.26%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.20%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 13:59
BetAnything2.46I 40.65%NM 38.64%EV -5.57%E -2.26%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.20%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 13:59
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -5.95%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.76%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.95%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.68%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 14:00
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.95%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.40%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -5.95%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -5.95%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 13:59
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV -6.72%E -2.77%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -5.68%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -8.22%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 13:59
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.19%EV -6.72%E -2.77%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.89%EV -15.97%E -6.52%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-11 13:59
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.61%EV -7.10%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -3.63%E -1.29%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -9.31%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 13:59
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.10%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -6.71%E -2.47%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -5.76%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 14:00
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.10%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -6.71%E -2.47%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -5.76%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 13:59
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.68%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 13:59
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.68%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 14:00
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.68%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 13:59
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-11 13:58
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 13:59
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 13:59
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.87%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -8.64%E -3.63%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.68%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.12%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 13:58
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.64%E -3.63%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 13:57
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.64%E -3.63%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.64%E -3.63%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-11 13:59
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -9.02%E -3.81%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -9.02%E -3.81%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 13:59
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.79%E -4.17%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.40%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 13:59
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.79%E -4.17%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.40%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 13:59
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.79%E -4.17%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 13:59
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -9.79%E -4.17%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 14:00
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.71%E -5.09%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 13:58
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -11.71%E -5.09%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -11.71%E -5.09%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-11 13:59
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -13.63%E -6.06%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -10.83%E -4.16%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-11 13:59
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -15.55%E -7.07%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.26%E -5.70%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -9.86%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-11 13:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.40%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-07-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-07-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-07-11 13:59
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-07-11 13:59